Spring 2014
No question, it’s been mild to warm on the East Coast with snow cover shrinking rapid. However, the cold pattern is coming back and here’s why. When you’ve got a strong phase 7 MJO, and the AO/NAO are heading into negative territory with abnormal warm water up the West Coast, you just know where the heights […]
After a warm and record wet winter, the spring pattern has turned around with warmer and drier than normal conditions which could have significant implications for later down the road. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] This drier but not completely dry pattern has helped drain some of the saturated soil covering much of the UK and Ireland. This is important when […]
Quick glance at the very latest Jamstec for North America precipitation and temperature through the spring, summer and fall of 2014. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Mar-May Precip Mar-May Temp Jun-Aug Precip Jun-Aug Temp Sep-Nov Precip Sep-Nov Temp Will do a video to discuss further… [/s2If][s2If current_user_cannot(access_s2member_level1)][magicactionbox id=”18716″][/s2If]
Quick glance at the very latest Jamstec on Europe precipitation and temperature through the spring, summer and fall of 2014. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Mar-May Precip Mar-May Temp Jun-Aug Precip Jun-Aug Temp Sep-Nov Precip Sep-Nov Temp These charts have been touched on (last evening’s Europe video) but will have another video discussing this further… [/s2If][s2If current_user_cannot(access_s2member_level1)][magicactionbox id=”18716″][/s2If]
In a follow up to last night’s post regarding the cooler, drier outlook, I want to look a little more closely at soil moisture content and it’s importance in atmospheric feedback as we toward warmer times. Here’s the ECMWF’s interpretation of Europe’s soil moisture content. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] The focus of wettest ground extends from the UK to Italy. This is where […]
There are clear signs of a cooler and drier pattern evolving for the UK, Ireland and much of Europe starting this week and may continue well into April. This type of pattern may have fairly significant influence later into spring and indeed the summer ahead. Positive influence if you like something similar to last year, hint […]
There’s good agreement with all the big models that a ‘Modoki’ style El Nino will form this summer. (Modoki: Central Pacific based El Nino, typical during cold PDO’s) LINK: The El Niño Modoki TOP IMAGE: Courtesy of NASA [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Due to the cold PDO, El Nino’s tend to be weak and short lived. Joe Bastardi of WeatherBell points out […]
There’s no question that this winter has been a tough one from the Plains to Atlantic Seaboard with many Midwest and interior East cities recording a top 10 cold winter. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Given the pattern over the next 2 to 3 weeks, there doesn’t appear to be any sign of the rubber band snapping and a reversal […]
[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Based on current circumstances both in atmosphere, ocean and soil, it would appear that we’re going into a ‘changeable weather pattern’ for the spring. In other words, we could go back and forth between ridge and trough but the overall theme is likely to sway more towards low pressure in the means over […]
Mild Pacific air has flooded the nation with the warmest air since last October and November. In fact temps ran a solid 10 to as much as 30 above normal today from California to New York but old man winter is ready to show that he’s not done yet. Not by a long shot. The […]
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