Archive for 2024
For the UK and Ireland, April 2024 has been a distinct tail of two halves with mild, wet first half to cooler, drier 2nd half. Quite incredible to see several places record their wettest April on record through just the first 12 days! ???? Wondering if the rain will ever stop? ???? Several locations in […]
The below forecast is based on current and projected ENSO conditions across the equatorial Pacific, very warm Atlantic and ocean/atmosphere model projections. First of all let’s see what’s considered normal. Tropical Cyclone Climatology Table 1. Progress of the average Atlantic season (1991-2020). Date upon which the following number of events would normally have occurred. Number Named […]
The warm, wet theme continued for the UK and Ireland through March 2024 despite the most significant of three SSW’s and favourable MJO cold phases of 7-8-1. And even the most negative NAO since January when we saw our 2nd and final cold (for some), snowy spell of winter 2023-24. March anomaly. MET OFFICE: Spring starts […]
Current Overview The current large-scale pattern is likely being driven or aided by a strong MJO rotation through phases 7-8-1 which is building pressure to the north and forcing the jet stream south. NAO dips to lowest negative since at least January. The above is driving a rather turbulent run-up to the upcoming Easter weekend. […]
Meteorological winter 2023-24 draws to a close today. Given how mild February turned out to be, I think it’s safe to say many will quickly forget this one. That being said, it’s had it’s fair share of flips, extremes and oddities… From one of the coldest December openings since 2010 to heavy rains, multiple named […]
It’s been a crazy past 6-12 months across large swathes of Asia. Relentless record heat with spells of extreme cold. The wild and erratic swings have been eye popping. As you can see, warmth has been dominant in the past 90 days or the period between late November through late February. Anomaly between 16-23 Feb! […]
It’s been quite the autumn and winter so far with excessive rains, swings back and forth of cold and warm as well as multiple storms. 10 named storms since 1 Sept through January Name Date named Date of impact on UK and/or Ireland and/or Netherlands Agnes 25 September 2023 27 – 28 September 2023 Babet […]
While record warmth affects some, record cold affects others through the first half of January 2024. Scandinavia got in on the act first with some remarkably low temperatures unseen for many years. The cold began in October and was building through November and December. 2024 likely got off to the coldest open to a new […]
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