Away from far NW Britain, July 2026 has been a remarkable month for lack of rainfall, seemingly endless high pressure and relentless heat. While the bulk of this mid-summer month was hot and dry, it’s start witnessed more Atlantic influence with fresher winds and wetter weather (for some). Below average rainfall for the majority of […]
June has very much followed in May’s footsteps across Europe including the UK/Ireland with distinct tale of two halves. Cool, wet 1st half followed by warm, dry 2nd half with blistering heatwave to finish. A repeating pattern which may well show up a 3rd consecutive month with potential for a 3rd heatwave on steroids… Cool […]
Welcome to my 16th annual UK/Europe summer forecast. As always, when compiling this forecast for the upcoming June-August period there are multiple factors which are taken into consideration. They include the past winter pattern, type of spring just observed as well as the current ENSO state, global and regional sea surface temperature anomalies etc. THE BIGGEST FACTOR […]
May has been a month of extremes with warm start, cool middle (coolest since 2010) followed by arguably one of Britain and Ireland’s most exceptional heatwaves. Just a week ago, it was running firmly below average, now, like March and April, warmer than average to complete a firmly warmer than average spring of 2026. As […]
Key Factors First of all let’s see what’s considered normal. Tropical Cyclone Climatology Number Named systems Hurricanes Major Hurricanes 1 Jun 20 Aug 11 Sep 1 2 Jul 17 Aug 26 Sep 19 3 Aug 3 Sep 7 Oct 28 4 Aug 15 Sep 16 – 5 Aug 22 Sep 28 – 6 Aug 29 […]
Away from far NW Britain, July 2026 has been a remarkable month for lack of rainfall, seemingly endless high pressure and relentless heat. While the bulk of this mid-summer month was hot and dry, it’s start witnessed more Atlantic influence with fresher winds and wetter weather (for some). Below average rainfall for the majority of […]
June has very much followed in May’s footsteps across Europe including the UK/Ireland with distinct tale of two halves. Cool, wet 1st half followed by warm, dry 2nd half with blistering heatwave to finish. A repeating pattern which may well show up a 3rd consecutive month with potential for a 3rd heatwave on steroids… Cool […]
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