October has been a month of wild pressure swings. Despite being a key transition month presenting often turbulent weather, it feels like the swing from a 1040 high to 950 low (series of storms) with return to 1040 high early Nov has been more extreme than usual. The effects of these deep lows and consequent […]
KEY DRIVERS UNCERTAINTIES Latest SSTA’s as of October 7th. Recently, a record 30C sea surface temperature was observed within Nino 3.4 for the first time in recorded history. Matching up past years to current While much of the attention is currently on the record strong El Nino and rightly so since it serves as our […]
September has continued a quite impressive run of unusually warmer than average months for much of Western Europe and like June, pretty much all of Europe was warm. So much so this month could be one of Europe’s as well as UK & Ireland’s warmest September’s on record. Warmth was one aspect, lack of appreciable […]
While all global drivers needs looked at when it comes to long range forecasting, there’s increasing confidence that the powerful El Nino of 2026 is likely to drive a particular global pattern and with particularly strong equatorial Pac warm events, the dice is loaded firmly towards a particular direction. Below is the in-depth video of […]
It’s been a remarkable May through August period for not only the UK and Ireland but Europe as a whole. While a season largely dominated by unusually strong and persistent high pressure with frequent hot spells and an exceptional dry period, the month of August and season is ending very different. Europe Temp & Precip […]
October has been a month of wild pressure swings. Despite being a key transition month presenting often turbulent weather, it feels like the swing from a 1040 high to 950 low (series of storms) with return to 1040 high early Nov has been more extreme than usual. The effects of these deep lows and consequent […]
September has continued a quite impressive run of unusually warmer than average months for much of Western Europe and like June, pretty much all of Europe was warm. So much so this month could be one of Europe’s as well as UK & Ireland’s warmest September’s on record. Warmth was one aspect, lack of appreciable […]
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