Tag: winter forecast

United States December Outlook (Includes Video)

Written by on November 23, 2015 in Autumn 2015, United States of America with 0 Comments
United States December Outlook (Includes Video)

Despite the impressive blast of arctic air into the Midwest on the rear of one of November’s biggest snowstorms across Iowa, Illinois, Wisconsin and Michigan, November overall will wind up much warmer than normal east of the Rockies. Yesterday was a very cold day by November standards. However… month to date looks like this. It looks like we’ve a very interesting close […]

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Official Europe Winter Forecast 2015-16

Written by on November 1, 2015 in Autumn 2015, Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 3 Comments
Official Europe Winter Forecast 2015-16

[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] The below winter 2015-16 forecast for Europe is based on. Global sea surface temperature anomaly Strong El Nino & forecast projection into winter Eurasia snow cover Solar Cycle 24 Trend in NAO/AO during the past year Interesting to note that as of this winter forecast release, today broke a 1946 UK November record with a remarkably mild 22.4C […]

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EURO WINTER 2015-16: Big Model Divide And Big Differences In Global SST This Year Compared To 1997

Written by on October 21, 2015 in Autumn 2015, Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
EURO WINTER 2015-16: Big Model Divide And Big Differences In Global SST This Year Compared To 1997

There’s an interesting divide in long range model solution for the upcoming winter. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] I strongly believe individual forecasters lean towards their favoured model where it’s warm or cold and it’s interesting to see the growing contrast in forecasts coming out. WSI shows a warm Europe winter with little to no blocking. AccuWeather is quite different. To […]

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SUN 2 NOV: VOGAN’S EUROPEAN WINTER OUTLOOK

Written by on November 2, 2014 in Videos with 0 Comments
SUN 2 NOV: VOGAN’S EUROPEAN WINTER OUTLOOK

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FREE: Official Europe Winter Forecast 2014-15

FREE: Official Europe Winter Forecast 2014-15

This seasonal forecast for the UK, Ireland and rest of Europe is based on the signals nature has already presented to us and data available as well as past analog years. With the development of a weak, possibly moderate El Nino into winter (central Pacific positioned), the progression into an easterly QBO within a downward trend in solar cycle 24 (but not minimum), a […]

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Siberian Snowpack Growth Is Highest For October In Decades, OPI Most Negative!

Siberian Snowpack Growth Is Highest For October In Decades, OPI Most Negative!

More ‘signs’ which suggest cold for down the road… Snow advancement/extent over Siberia through October has been greatest in decades… Check out this eye-catching graphic tweeted by Anthony Sagliani. Is this significant to our winter ahead? The OPI (October Pattern Index) has been firmly negative this year which can be a signal to cold for the approaching […]

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FRI 24 OCT: VOGAN’S EUROPEAN OUTLOOK

Written by on October 24, 2014 in Videos with 0 Comments
FRI 24 OCT: VOGAN’S EUROPEAN OUTLOOK

[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)][s2Stream player=”jwplayer-v6-rtmp” player_path=”/jwplayer/jwplayer.js” file_download=”Vid5555.mp4″ player_width=”640″ player_height=”480″ player_key=”7dA7m05wsepGN0qTGnxA7CFT7sgLuKxncIU/4g==” player_option_blocks=”logo:{file:’http://www.markvoganweather.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/05/jwplayer_logo.png’,link:’http://www.markvoganweather.com’}” /][/s2If][s2If current_user_cannot(access_s2member_level1)][magicactionbox id=”18716″][/s2If]

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Winter Has Been A No Show For Europe, Could Strat Warming, Oceanic Feedback Bring Hope?

Written by on January 13, 2014 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 2 Comments

Well it certainly doesn’t appear that cold will make it to the western flank of Europe (south of Scand) this week as Atlantic low pressure appears too dominant. I know back last week and up till Saturday, I believed the models would flip back to what they had originally with cold making it to Ireland but […]

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Operational Runs Now Show Blocking Pattern & UK Cold Signal!

Written by on January 1, 2014 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments

It may seen like a long time coming but right on schedule, the operational models are now picking up on what the CFSv2 has shown since before Christmas, a Greenland to Scandinavia block by the end of day 10 or around Jan 10th. This would coincide nicely with the 10mb strat warming over Asia and the stretching and […]

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More Guidance Supports Progressively Colder Times Ahead For UK/W. Europe

Written by on December 29, 2013 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments

In the last couple of days I’ve shown examples of where I’m getting the cold January idea for Western Europe and how it appears to be going to my long term mid winter forecast, first issued back in late summer but I want to take it further. The examples where first given in Friday’s written post […]

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