Archive for April, 2020

Europe May 2020 Outlook

Written by on April 28, 2020 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
Europe May 2020 Outlook

April couldn’t have been more different to February for Western Europe with frequent Atlantic lows (active rossby wave train) bringing record rainfall to the UK. This ‘stuck’ pattern was abruptly replaced by only another stuck pattern, a blocked high (stationary wave) which brought 4 straight weeks without a drop of rain for some. The tap […]

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VIDEO: Big Year for Atlantic Hurricanes?

Written by on April 27, 2020 in Videos with 0 Comments
VIDEO: Big Year for Atlantic Hurricanes?

‘Ocean-Atmosphere Setup’ Suggests Big 2020 Atlantic Hurricane Season Ahead

Written by on April 27, 2020 in Rest of World, Tropical, United States of America with 0 Comments
‘Ocean-Atmosphere Setup’ Suggests Big 2020 Atlantic Hurricane Season Ahead

Based on all the current parameters and model projection, the 2020 Atlantic Hurricane Season is likely to be busy one. However, let’s keep in mind that although 9 out of 10 factors can align perfectly, it just takes one factor to significantly suppress development or intensification in a seemingly perfect environment, e.g Saharan dust, wind […]

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THU 23 APR: VOGAN’S EUROPEAN OUTLOOK

Written by on April 23, 2020 in Videos with 0 Comments
THU 23 APR: VOGAN’S EUROPEAN OUTLOOK

Enhanced MJO Set To Return Bringing Wet, Unsettled Start To May For UK

Written by on April 22, 2020 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
Enhanced MJO Set To Return Bringing Wet, Unsettled Start To May For UK

If you’ve read my latest articles and watched the videos then you’ll be well aware that our warm, wet winter was largely down to the warm ‘enhanced’ phases of the madden julian oscillation. The northward heat release fueled a highly active wintertime rossby wave train. At the end of March, the MJO finally weakened into […]

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TUE 21 APR: VOGAN’S EUROPEAN OUTLOOK

Written by on April 21, 2020 in Videos with 0 Comments
TUE 21 APR: VOGAN’S EUROPEAN OUTLOOK

High Pressure Brings Big Temperature Swings To Scottish Highlands

Written by on April 20, 2020 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
High Pressure Brings Big Temperature Swings To Scottish Highlands

A persistent high pressure system anchored between Scotland and Scandinavia has led to a complete shutdown of ‘weather’ and produced significant April rainfall deficits from UK through Central Europe as a result. This blocking high has re-routed all weather north into Scandinavia and south into Iberia. 500mb height anomaly for April so far. Rainfall anomaly […]

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From Record Wet February To One of the Driest April’s for UK?

Written by on April 18, 2020 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
From Record Wet February To One of the Driest April’s for UK?

What’s going on? We have gone from relentless rain to unusually dry in just 6-8 weeks. From almost UK-wide flood warnings in February/early March to little or no rain from March 19 to April 16. This was the 500mb height anomaly for February. This was the result. A record wet February for the UK. As […]

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FRI 17 APR: Glace at Global SST’s & Implications for Monsoon/Hurricane Season

Written by on April 17, 2020 in Videos with 0 Comments
FRI 17 APR: Glace at Global SST’s & Implications for Monsoon/Hurricane Season

THU 16 APR: VOGAN’S EUROPEAN OUTLOOK

Written by on April 16, 2020 in Videos with 0 Comments
THU 16 APR: VOGAN’S EUROPEAN OUTLOOK
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