Seasonal Forecasts

US March 2018 Outlook (winter 2017-18 recap)

Written by on February 23, 2018 in United States of America, Winter 2017/18 with 0 Comments
US March 2018 Outlook (winter 2017-18 recap)

What a winter it’s been across the United States. From Alaska to Florida and from Southern California to Maine, it’s been extreme in all categories. Firstly a record cold open and close to December 2017 with record snowfall for Erie and the state of Pennsylvania. This was followed by the coldest open to a new […]

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Europe March 2018 Outlook (winter 2017-18 recap)

Written by on February 23, 2018 in Rest of Europe, Winter 2017/18 with 0 Comments
Europe March 2018 Outlook (winter 2017-18 recap)

While the chill of February had eased last weekend into the beginning of this week, we’re ending the month and winter on a bitter note. WINTER 2017-18 RECAP Like December and January, the third and final month of meteorological winter has been mixed but with more frequent spells of cold and snow across much of […]

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Talk about extremes: -40s in Montana v 80s in the Virginias

Written by on February 21, 2018 in United States of America, Winter 2017/18 with 0 Comments
Talk about extremes: -40s in Montana v 80s in the Virginias

Thanks to a mid-winter depth trough vs a summer-like ridge, yesterday saw snow and sub-zero wind chills across Montana while at the same time cities in the East where enjoying their warmest February day on record. AMAZING STUFF! Record cold this morning in the west, record warmth this afternoon in the east. High-amplitude pattern. pic.twitter.com/iDaztUa1vI […]

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Modelling goes ‘bold with the cold’ for March 2018 drawing comparisons to 1962, 2013

Written by on February 21, 2018 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland, Winter 2017/18 with 0 Comments
Modelling goes ‘bold with the cold’ for March 2018 drawing comparisons to 1962, 2013

I’m trying to avoid hype as the papers and social media do enough of that but now that the SSWE has occurred, we now await the blast from Siberia (due late weekend). Interestingly all the models are now coming together with a very impressive period of cold weather ahead for both UK and Europe with […]

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US Contrasts: Winter v Summer… 0s for Montana, Wyoming, 70s for Ohio, New England

Written by on February 20, 2018 in United States of America, Winter 2017/18 with 0 Comments
US Contrasts: Winter v Summer… 0s for Montana, Wyoming, 70s for Ohio, New England

What a West-East contrast we have over the Lower 48 just now. We currently have a mid-winter level trough over the West bringing the coldest air not just for this winter but in a few years to parts of California while beneath an unusually strong upper ridge and SW flow, we have record February warmth […]

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TWC: Fort Belknap, Montana rises from -37F to 45F (82F) within 24 hours

Written by on February 19, 2018 in United States of America, Winter 2017/18 with 0 Comments
TWC: Fort Belknap, Montana rises from -37F to 45F (82F) within 24 hours

Article from weather.com February 15, 2018 By Brian Donegan and Chris Dolce Imagine seeing the temperature rise more than 80 degrees in just a few hours, but it’s still cold. Yes, this really happened Tuesday in Fort Belknap, Montana, thanks to Chinook winds causing the temperature to rise from an early-morning low of minus 37 […]

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Europe Winter 2017-18: ‘Relatively mild’ Dec-Jan, Potentially ‘very cold’ late Feb, March!

Written by on February 19, 2018 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland, Winter 2017/18 with 0 Comments
Europe Winter 2017-18: ‘Relatively mild’ Dec-Jan, Potentially ‘very cold’ late Feb, March!

December and January turned out average to warmer than normal across Europe and the UK ‘overall’ but certainly this big picture doesn’t tell the whole story as there have been frequent colder periods ‘locally’. January anomaly However, the large-scale trend shifted firmly to colder in February. Despite a warmer than normal Dec-Jan period, there have […]

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La Nina, MJO drives late winter US pattern

Written by on February 18, 2018 in United States of America, Winter 2017/18 with 0 Comments
La Nina, MJO drives late winter US pattern

While Western Europe flipped from warm January to cold February, the opposite has taken place in the Eastern US with cold January to warm February. The north-central has been frigid though and this strongly reflects a La Nina February. Jan 18 Feb so far Next 7 days firmly follows the trend of the last 18 […]

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NORTHEAST CITIES: From spring warmth to plowable snow, More warmth next week!

Written by on February 16, 2018 in United States of America, Winter 2017/18 with 0 Comments
NORTHEAST CITIES: From spring warmth to plowable snow, More warmth next week!

From spring back to winter within 24 hours! A system lifting ENE out of the southern Plains will meet cold air dropping southwards out of Canada and so precip turns to snow from the interior Mid-Atlantic up through New England. Quite the dip in temp between today and tomorrow. From mid to upper 50s late […]

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100 mph winds generate whiteout & worst conditions of winter for Scottish Highlands

Written by on February 16, 2018 in United Kingdom & Ireland, Winter 2017/18 with 0 Comments
100 mph winds generate whiteout & worst conditions of winter for Scottish Highlands

The vicious combination of gale-force winds and snowfall created white out conditions across parts of the Highland road network Wednesday. Atrocious conditions were observed in the hills where gusts exceeded 100 mph over the Cairngorms. The worst affected area was along the A82 between Rannoch Moor and Glencoe. The A9 was also subject to serious […]

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