United Kingdom & Ireland

Europe Winter Forecast 2019-2020

Written by on November 2, 2019 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 2 Comments
Europe Winter Forecast 2019-2020

Welcome to my 10th annual winter forecast for Europe. This marks the 10th anniversary of the greatest winter of my lifetime and my greatest long range forecast. 2009-10 was a true old fashioned winter and a winter which will be firmly entrenched in my mind forever. It was a winter of frequent and often big […]

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Europe November 2019 Outlook

Written by on October 24, 2019 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
Europe November 2019 Outlook

Atlantic low pressure has been a dominant feature over the northeast Atlantic/northwest Europe bringing a very wet October with record rainfall. The 3 former tropical cyclones which got caught by the westerlies and crossed a warmer than normal North Atlantic into Ireland and the UK enhanced the rainfall this month. Low pressure has resulted in […]

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Europe (rest of October) 2019 Outlook

Written by on October 16, 2019 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
Europe (rest of October) 2019 Outlook

After a late August hot spell in which Glasgow topped 28.5C, September has a turn to wetter times for Northwest Europe and something drier for Iberia. Here are the September temp anomaly across Europe. October so far! As you can see it’s been much cooler, especially for central and northern Europe. Rainfall has been significant. […]

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Europe September 2019 Outlook

Written by on September 3, 2019 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
Europe September 2019 Outlook

Like June and July, August has been bumpy bringing big swings in weather type and temperature. Rainfall from June through mid August has been heaver than usual with flash flood events in high frequency and these have affected many parts of the UK and Ireland. However, August has been somewhat cooler and more unsettled than […]

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Europe August 2019 Outlook

Written by on July 31, 2019 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
Europe August 2019 Outlook

Summer 2019 will be long remembered for it’s big extremes of ALL-TIME record heat, record cold and record rainfall. Some of the very areas which saw record July cold was followed by not only record July heat but all-time record heat. The wild July was followed by an equally wild June which saw spells of […]

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Europe July 2019 Outlook

Written by on July 6, 2019 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
Europe July 2019 Outlook

June, like February, March, April and May has been dominated by wild swings in temperature. One of the key contributors of Europe’s extreme pattern and flips has been down to a record long-lasting negative North Atlantic Oscillation. The -NAO has aided a continuous amplified/blocked pattern. These blocked setups allow extreme heat north and extreme cool […]

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Feeling more like October as month’s worth of rain falls on England, Wales

Written by on June 10, 2019 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
Feeling more like October as month’s worth of rain falls on England, Wales

It’s been a wet start to the work week across southeast England and this heavy and persistent rain will push north and west tonight beginning stuck. The reason? a deepening low is tracking slowly north out of France. The persistent nature of this rainfall over a prolonged time frame has led to a widespread yellow […]

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Finland enjoys earliest 32C on record while wind and rain batter southern Britain

Written by on June 7, 2019 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
Finland enjoys earliest 32C on record while wind and rain batter southern Britain

As an unusually deep June low spread heavy rain and strong winds into England and Wales, high pressure pumped intense early summer heat into eastern Scandinavia today. The thermometer climbed into the 30s for a few sites in Finland. A high of 32.2C at Oulu, this marked Finland’s earliest 32C on record. It was warmer […]

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Recent soggy pattern likely enhanced by ‘warmer than normal’ water between Azores & UK

Written by on June 5, 2019 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
Recent soggy pattern likely enhanced by ‘warmer than normal’ water between Azores & UK

After a dry May, June and summer has opened soggy and on a very different note to last year. Low pressure has dominated the UK over the last 10 days and with SW winds blowing across warmer than normal water between the Azores and UK, rainfall has likely been enhanced some. Is there drier times […]

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Europe June 2019 Outlook

Written by on May 31, 2019 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
Europe June 2019 Outlook

Despite a warmer middle part of May (especially for Scotland and Scandinavia), the month is winding up below normal throughout central and west-central Europe. Like in April, warmth has been the rule over Russia. A dry first half to the month has given way to a wetter 2nd half and a downright soggy finish for […]

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