United Kingdom & Ireland

Will The Most Recent SOLAR MINIMUM, QBO, IOD Etc Deliver This Winter?

Written by on September 15, 2021 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
Will The Most Recent SOLAR MINIMUM, QBO, IOD Etc Deliver This Winter?

We have a big test coming up with regards to the solar minimum along with influences from the IOD, QBO, global SST’s, La Nina, MJO and even larger extent of Arctic sea ice compared to recent years. Last winter’s La Nina dissipated as expected during the past summer but appears to be returning in a […]

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10 Years Ago Today: Ex-Hurricane Katia Slams UK With Damaging 90 mph Winds, High Seas!

Written by on September 12, 2021 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
10 Years Ago Today: Ex-Hurricane Katia Slams UK With Damaging 90 mph Winds, High Seas!

During the 2nd half of summer and 1st half of autumn, the tropics can play a pretty big role in determining Western Europe’s weather pattern. Especially when there is an uptick in Atlantic tropical cyclone activity and systems moving from low to mid latitudes. Tropical storms and or hurricanes which remain at sea and undergo […]

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Scotland, Ireland Observe Warmest September Day Since 1906, Since 1961 For Wales

Written by on September 12, 2021 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
Scotland, Ireland Observe Warmest September Day Since 1906, Since 1961 For Wales

The same record breaking high which delivered unusually cool temps to Southern Britain to end August and meteorological summer shifted position from near Iceland to Germany then delivered the warmest September day to Ireland and Scotland since 1906, since 1961 for Wales and 2016 for England. The below pressure chart shows the set up with […]

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After England’s Coolest August Max Since 1986, First UK Back-to-back September 30s Since 1899?

Written by on September 6, 2021 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
After England’s Coolest August Max Since 1986, First UK Back-to-back September 30s Since 1899?

On the heels of England’s coolest August maximum since 1986 (26.4C), our eyes will be watching the thermometer over the next few days as temperatures are expected to push 30C for the first time since July. What’s bringing the heat all of a sudden? Blame a shift in the same high which has dominated in […]

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Europe September 2021 Outlook (Video included)

Written by on August 31, 2021 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
Europe September 2021 Outlook (Video included)

The unusually dry final 7-10 days of August helped rank summer 2021 as one of the driest on record for Scotland. Thanks to dominant high latitude blocking through the June-August period (possibly aided by low solar), northern areas have seen the least rain while parts of south and east England have been fairly wet. Some […]

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SUMMER SO FAR & Europe August 2021 Outlook

Written by on July 29, 2021 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
SUMMER SO FAR & Europe August 2021 Outlook

For Northwest Europe (Ireland, UK, France, Low Countries), it’s been a summer of mixed fortunes with spells of wet, dry, cool and warm with of course the relatively long lived warm to hot spell which during mid July. An unusual back to back flash flood event struck London ahead and after a pretty average 7-day […]

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Northern Ireland (Provisionally) Set’s New All-Time Heat Record

Written by on July 19, 2021 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
Northern Ireland (Provisionally) Set’s New All-Time Heat Record

Located along the shores of Strangford Lough and near Newtonards, Co Down, Ballywatticock is a name few had ever heard of. Well up until Saturday when at approx 3.40pm became the most famous place in Northern Ireland when news broke that a met office site in the tiny township reported a (provisional) temperature of 31.2C. […]

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Europe July 2021 Outlook

Written by on July 2, 2021 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
Europe July 2021 Outlook

June 2021 will go down as a warm month across Europe but not without it’s twists and turns. A pattern dominated largely by high pressure but with southerly positioned cut of lows which made for a very wet June over central and northern France and southern Britain. ‘Mirror image’ Omega blocking pattern creates extreme weather […]

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UK Observes Coldest June Night In 9 Years After Summer Solstice Is Colder Than Winter!

Written by on June 23, 2021 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
UK Observes Coldest June Night In 9 Years After Summer Solstice Is Colder Than Winter!

Despite three failed attempts at 30C and a well above average month, it’s also been a rather disappointing June, particularly so for southern counties of England. Rainfall has been near double the June average across the south while Northern England, Scotland and Northern Ireland has been pretty dry and well below average. Monday was of […]

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Will June Balance Out As Warm 1st Half Is Replaced By Cool, Unsettled 2nd Half?

Written by on June 16, 2021 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
Will June Balance Out As Warm 1st Half Is Replaced By Cool, Unsettled 2nd Half?

As shown in recent videos, the MJO is becoming more amplified once again and may provide more of a mid-latitude influence. As can be seen in the latest GFS ensemble model, the MJO wave is rotating back through the same cool phases which brought our cold April and May and as expected, the models show […]

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