United Kingdom & Ireland

Europe March 2020 Outlook (Why was winter so mild?)

Written by on February 24, 2020 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
Europe March 2020 Outlook (Why was winter so mild?)

Winter 2019-20 could not be any different to the winter of a decade ago. In fact it’s the polar opposite to 2009-10 which was one of the coldest. 2019-20 will go down as one of the warmest for the entire hemisphere never mind North America or Europe. Cities such as Oslo and Helsinki received their […]

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265 mph Jet Stream powers 930mb bomb off Greenland while Ciara rapidly deepens on approach to UK/Ireland!

Written by on February 8, 2020 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
265 mph Jet Stream powers 930mb bomb off Greenland while Ciara rapidly deepens on approach to UK/Ireland!

Thanks to the collision of arctic and tropical air over North America and the North Atlantic, the jet stream crossing the pond has intensified to supersonic speed, creating the perfect incubator for rapid cyclogenesis and formation of the Atlantic’s deepest depressions in several years. A visible satellite image captured this morning shows a storm system […]

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Europe February 2020 Outlook (thoughts on winter so far & global warming)

Written by on January 31, 2020 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
Europe February 2020 Outlook (thoughts on winter so far & global warming)

Whether we blame the burning of fossil fuels, sun, oceans or nature cyclical variability, if we trust the graphs and data shown to us, then there’s no denying that our global temperature continues to rise. Recent years certainly ‘appear’ to be producing more heat than cold globally. There appears to be less global cooling following […]

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Europe January 2020 Outlook (Look back a Nov/Dec 19)

Written by on January 6, 2020 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
Europe January 2020 Outlook (Look back a Nov/Dec 19)

November and autumn 2019 ended cold across Western and Northern Europe but winter’s opening month was largely milder than normal across much of the continent. November as a whole was colder than normal from Morocco, Iberia up through the British Isles and Ireland to Scandinavia. It was likely coldest for the UK since 2016 but […]

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Europe Winter Forecast 2019-2020

Written by on November 2, 2019 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 2 Comments
Europe Winter Forecast 2019-2020

Welcome to my 10th annual winter forecast for Europe. This marks the 10th anniversary of the greatest winter of my lifetime and my greatest long range forecast. 2009-10 was a true old fashioned winter and a winter which will be firmly entrenched in my mind forever. It was a winter of frequent and often big […]

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Europe November 2019 Outlook

Written by on October 24, 2019 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
Europe November 2019 Outlook

Atlantic low pressure has been a dominant feature over the northeast Atlantic/northwest Europe bringing a very wet October with record rainfall. The 3 former tropical cyclones which got caught by the westerlies and crossed a warmer than normal North Atlantic into Ireland and the UK enhanced the rainfall this month. Low pressure has resulted in […]

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Europe (rest of October) 2019 Outlook

Written by on October 16, 2019 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
Europe (rest of October) 2019 Outlook

After a late August hot spell in which Glasgow topped 28.5C, September has a turn to wetter times for Northwest Europe and something drier for Iberia. Here are the September temp anomaly across Europe. October so far! As you can see it’s been much cooler, especially for central and northern Europe. Rainfall has been significant. […]

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Europe September 2019 Outlook

Written by on September 3, 2019 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
Europe September 2019 Outlook

Like June and July, August has been bumpy bringing big swings in weather type and temperature. Rainfall from June through mid August has been heaver than usual with flash flood events in high frequency and these have affected many parts of the UK and Ireland. However, August has been somewhat cooler and more unsettled than […]

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Europe August 2019 Outlook

Written by on July 31, 2019 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
Europe August 2019 Outlook

Summer 2019 will be long remembered for it’s big extremes of ALL-TIME record heat, record cold and record rainfall. Some of the very areas which saw record July cold was followed by not only record July heat but all-time record heat. The wild July was followed by an equally wild June which saw spells of […]

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Europe July 2019 Outlook

Written by on July 6, 2019 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
Europe July 2019 Outlook

June, like February, March, April and May has been dominated by wild swings in temperature. One of the key contributors of Europe’s extreme pattern and flips has been down to a record long-lasting negative North Atlantic Oscillation. The -NAO has aided a continuous amplified/blocked pattern. These blocked setups allow extreme heat north and extreme cool […]

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