United Kingdom & Ireland
Thanks to the collision of arctic and tropical air over North America and the North Atlantic, the jet stream crossing the pond has intensified to supersonic speed, creating the perfect incubator for rapid cyclogenesis and formation of the Atlantic’s deepest depressions in several years. A visible satellite image captured this morning shows a storm system […]
Whether we blame the burning of fossil fuels, sun, oceans or nature cyclical variability, if we trust the graphs and data shown to us, then there’s no denying that our global temperature continues to rise. Recent years certainly ‘appear’ to be producing more heat than cold globally. There appears to be less global cooling following […]
November and autumn 2019 ended cold across Western and Northern Europe but winter’s opening month was largely milder than normal across much of the continent. November as a whole was colder than normal from Morocco, Iberia up through the British Isles and Ireland to Scandinavia. It was likely coldest for the UK since 2016 but […]
Welcome to my 10th annual winter forecast for Europe. This marks the 10th anniversary of the greatest winter of my lifetime and my greatest long range forecast. 2009-10 was a true old fashioned winter and a winter which will be firmly entrenched in my mind forever. It was a winter of frequent and often big […]
Atlantic low pressure has been a dominant feature over the northeast Atlantic/northwest Europe bringing a very wet October with record rainfall. The 3 former tropical cyclones which got caught by the westerlies and crossed a warmer than normal North Atlantic into Ireland and the UK enhanced the rainfall this month. Low pressure has resulted in […]
After a late August hot spell in which Glasgow topped 28.5C, September has a turn to wetter times for Northwest Europe and something drier for Iberia. Here are the September temp anomaly across Europe. October so far! As you can see it’s been much cooler, especially for central and northern Europe. Rainfall has been significant. […]
Like June and July, August has been bumpy bringing big swings in weather type and temperature. Rainfall from June through mid August has been heaver than usual with flash flood events in high frequency and these have affected many parts of the UK and Ireland. However, August has been somewhat cooler and more unsettled than […]
Summer 2019 will be long remembered for it’s big extremes of ALL-TIME record heat, record cold and record rainfall. Some of the very areas which saw record July cold was followed by not only record July heat but all-time record heat. The wild July was followed by an equally wild June which saw spells of […]
June, like February, March, April and May has been dominated by wild swings in temperature. One of the key contributors of Europe’s extreme pattern and flips has been down to a record long-lasting negative North Atlantic Oscillation. The -NAO has aided a continuous amplified/blocked pattern. These blocked setups allow extreme heat north and extreme cool […]
It’s been a wet start to the work week across southeast England and this heavy and persistent rain will push north and west tonight beginning stuck. The reason? a deepening low is tracking slowly north out of France. The persistent nature of this rainfall over a prolonged time frame has led to a widespread yellow […]
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