United Kingdom & Ireland
For the UK and Ireland, April 2024 has been a distinct tail of two halves with mild, wet first half to cooler, drier 2nd half. Quite incredible to see several places record their wettest April on record through just the first 12 days! ???? Wondering if the rain will ever stop? ???? Several locations in […]
The warm, wet theme continued for the UK and Ireland through March 2024 despite the most significant of three SSW’s and favourable MJO cold phases of 7-8-1. And even the most negative NAO since January when we saw our 2nd and final cold (for some), snowy spell of winter 2023-24. March anomaly. MET OFFICE: Spring starts […]
Current Overview The current large-scale pattern is likely being driven or aided by a strong MJO rotation through phases 7-8-1 which is building pressure to the north and forcing the jet stream south. NAO dips to lowest negative since at least January. The above is driving a rather turbulent run-up to the upcoming Easter weekend. […]
Meteorological winter 2023-24 draws to a close today. Given how mild February turned out to be, I think it’s safe to say many will quickly forget this one. That being said, it’s had it’s fair share of flips, extremes and oddities… From one of the coldest December openings since 2010 to heavy rains, multiple named […]
It’s been quite the autumn and winter so far with excessive rains, swings back and forth of cold and warm as well as multiple storms. 10 named storms since 1 Sept through January Name Date named Date of impact on UK and/or Ireland and/or Netherlands Agnes 25 September 2023 27 – 28 September 2023 Babet […]
December follows October and November as being a very wet month. It started cold and dry then turned very mild but also very wet. Christmas to New Year has seen it turn somewhat colder and snowier, especially in the north. The month overall coincides quite well with my December Outlook (scoring 8 out of 10) […]
The heavy rains which affected the Northern UK during October shifted south to southern areas and particularly France during November. The final 10 days turned increasingly cold. November started extremely wet, on the heels of October… Eastern Scotland had its wettest October on record in a series which goes back to 1836. It was also: […]
Welcome to my 14th Europe winter forecast. In this forecast, the conclusions drawn for the 90-day meteorological winter period will be based on the climate drivers currently at play. I’ll look at the current AMO & PDO state, El Nino, IOD, MJO, QBO, Solar. What could each driver mean individually and collectively? Another important factor […]
Key Factors Current Global state (ocean & land temperature anomaly) On a global scale, our oceans are about as warm as any time since at least the beginning of the satellite era. Note the level of widespread warmth particularly from equator to arctic. CDAS temperature anomaly for land and ocean YEAR-TO-DATE! Despite the warmth, we […]
As October draws to a wet, blustery end, here’s a look back at what we witnessed during October 2023. WHAT WAS SAID: Europe October 2023 Outlook What happened… Remarkably warm start to October following record warm September! Update 38.2 MONTORO NEW SPAIN OCTOBER RECORDRecords were obliterated with up to 6C margin with tropical nights even >1300m!First […]
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