Archive for November, 2018
As we commence December and meteorological winter 18-19 tomorrow, the next surge of arctic air looks set to drill down the eastern side of North America early next week. This in turn will strengthen our predominantly zonal Atlantic jet thanks to the NAO going back neutral which means don’t expect an end to this wet, […]
November 2018 is hands down coldest since the benchmark November of 2014. While 2014 may have been colder than November 2018, several Midwest cities and some spots over New England have seen their snowiest start to a season or snowiest November on record. For the season to date, it’s been the snowiest since the big […]
Wind and rain is in firm control of our weather to end November and commence December. Lot’s of ‘cold talk’ of late and wishcasting but with the NAO going positive and polar vortex core leaning towards Greenland/Scandinavia, there’s no sign of anything other than an Atlantic pattern for NW Europe through the next 10 days […]
Over the Thanksgiving holiday, one of the coldest November arctic outbreaks descended upon the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic. Not only was it the coldest Thanksgiving day/night for many, it was also the coldest weather ever recorded in November. In order to break monthly cold records which have stood 100+ years, Canada needs to have an expansive […]
I’m just heading off to the hills but wanted to share a few thoughts on the return to wetter, windier and somewhat warmer. With the increase in thermal gradient over North America, our trans Atlantic jet is strengthening and as a result we’ll see the return to a more active pattern this week ahead. As […]
From earliest snow as far south as Galveston, TX to coldest Thanksgiving on record for parts of the Northeast, November 2018 will go down as one of the coldest in US history. Month so far. There are a couple of contributors to such a chilly November. A cold September for much of Canada and building […]
Up until mid November it had been a warm month with temps soaring to 18C as far north as Kinlochewe, Northwest Highlands. The 2nd half of the month turned seasonal to slightly below average as winds turned from southerly to easterly courtesy of the development of a powerful Scandinavian high. The colder flow wasn’t enough […]
The recent 6.4 inch snowfall which fell on NYC’s Central Park not only was the city’s 2nd snowiest November day on record but it was the earliest 6+ inch snowstorm on record. Only 1882 saw more snow on a single November day and that was 15 days later. 1st snow in New York city pic.twitter.com/Sax7DPbBxi […]
You’d think that by now, modelling would be at least close to be correct. I’m not talking ‘months’ in advance but more 10 days… The CFSv2 showed a very warm November for the US with warmer and warmer runs the closer it got to November. In reality we’re witnessing one of the coldest Novembers. As […]
I know I keep going on about this but I feel strong about this. There has been a great deal of hype and buying into individual ‘cold model runs’ lately. Do that was caution at this early stage, especially when the models see big cold blocking patterns but with little PV disruption. While there has […]
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