Archive for February, 2016
You can’t argue with the stats, winter 2015-16 is going down as one of the warmest and wettest on record with many seeing a top 5, even top 2 warm Dec-Feb period. No question, this can be directly attributed to the record tying El Nino which produced the warmest December on record, coinciding with the peaking of the […]
On the meteorological calendar, we end winter today and commence spring tomorrow. Winter 2015-16 will be remembered not for it’s cold and snow but warm and wet. The bulk of the warmth came during December, coinciding with the likely peaking of this years record tying El Nino which overwhelmed the entire hemispheric pattern. Nov-Dec Although […]
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While the next two lows in the series are likely to track west of the DC to Boston corridor, the ECMWF says it’s 3rd time lucky Fri-Sat as a cold trough deepens, forcing the storm track south of DC. First of all, we have another major storm system this week which is likely to bring a sizable snow […]
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Wouldn’t this be great to see in March following the UK’s 3rd warmest winter on record! [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Combine the above collapse of the PV projected by GFS ensemble above with the MJO entering phase 8 which gives this for March… and models day 5-10 show this… We cannot rule out an impressive cold spell, […]
Am I missing something? It appears we have a full blown sudden stratospheric warming event underway with the apparent collapse of the polar vortex. MJO is within phase 8 (cold phase) and yet the models aren’t showing much in response. Is it me or is it the models simply not seeing what’s happening within the arctic atmosphere? […]
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