Rest of Europe

Seasonal Shift, MJO ‘Gear Change’ and Cool SST’s Turns Soggy Atlantic Pattern Into Drier, Warmer Regime For UK

Written by on April 7, 2020 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
Seasonal Shift, MJO ‘Gear Change’ and Cool SST’s Turns Soggy Atlantic Pattern Into Drier, Warmer Regime For UK

The global driving mechanisms of ENSO, IOD and MJO which drove the hemisphere’s warmest winter and UK’s wettest February on record have finally changed gear but much too late for the snow and cold lover unfortunately. As a result of this ‘gear change’ combined with the natural seasonal shift, the westerlies have slackened and ridging […]

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Europe April 2020 Outlook

Written by on March 31, 2020 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
Europe April 2020 Outlook

A strong, stable stratospheric polar vortex dominated much of the 2019-20 boreal winter, driving warm oceanic air across the continents. We’ve almost certainly observed the warmest winter since the beginning of the satellite era (1979) throughout the Northern Hemisphere. Globally, January 2020 was earth’s warmest since the beginning of the satellite era in 1979. Following […]

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75 mph ‘Calima’ Sandstorm Chokes Canary Islands Forcing School Closures and Grounding/Re-Routing Flights

Written by on February 25, 2020 in Rest of Europe with 0 Comments
75 mph ‘Calima’ Sandstorm Chokes Canary Islands Forcing School Closures and Grounding/Re-Routing Flights

The tight pressure gradient between high and low pressure helped generate a powerful and highly disruptive ‘calima’ wind/sandstorm from Sahara across the Canary Islands. The hot, dusty, sandy easterly ¬†gale-force winds turned skies thick red and orange with visibility dropping from 5 miles to less than 1 mile in minutes as choking sand blew through […]

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Europe March 2020 Outlook (Why was winter so mild?)

Written by on February 24, 2020 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
Europe March 2020 Outlook (Why was winter so mild?)

Winter 2019-20 could not be any different to the winter of a decade ago. In fact it’s the polar opposite to 2009-10 which was one of the coldest. 2019-20 will go down as one of the warmest for the entire hemisphere never mind North America or Europe. Cities such as Oslo and Helsinki received their […]

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Record Strong Polar Vortex /+AO/NAO Pushes Arctic Sea Ice to 10-Year High But Makes For Warm, Wet, Stormy Winter Across Europe

Written by on February 14, 2020 in Rest of Europe with 0 Comments
Record Strong Polar Vortex /+AO/NAO Pushes Arctic Sea Ice to 10-Year High But Makes For Warm, Wet, Stormy Winter Across Europe

With barely 2 weeks remaining of meteorological winter 2019-20, I think it’s safe to say that warmth, a lot of rain and big storms have been dominant. Europe as well as the UK and Ireland has likely seen one of it’s warmest winters on record with summer-like warmth hitting central countries including Switzerland at a […]

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265 mph Jet Stream powers 930mb bomb off Greenland while Ciara rapidly deepens on approach to UK/Ireland!

Written by on February 8, 2020 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
265 mph Jet Stream powers 930mb bomb off Greenland while Ciara rapidly deepens on approach to UK/Ireland!

Thanks to the collision of arctic and tropical air over North America and the North Atlantic, the jet stream crossing the pond has intensified to supersonic speed, creating the perfect incubator for rapid cyclogenesis and formation of the Atlantic’s deepest depressions in several years. A visible satellite image captured this morning shows a storm system […]

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Europe February 2020 Outlook (thoughts on winter so far & global warming)

Written by on January 31, 2020 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
Europe February 2020 Outlook (thoughts on winter so far & global warming)

Whether we blame the burning of fossil fuels, sun, oceans or nature cyclical variability, if we trust the graphs and data shown to us, then there’s no denying that our global temperature continues to rise. Recent years certainly ‘appear’ to be producing more heat than cold globally. There appears to be less global cooling following […]

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Europe January 2020 Outlook (Look back a Nov/Dec 19)

Written by on January 6, 2020 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
Europe January 2020 Outlook (Look back a Nov/Dec 19)

November and autumn 2019 ended cold across Western and Northern Europe but winter’s opening month was largely milder than normal across much of the continent. November as a whole was colder than normal from Morocco, Iberia up through the British Isles and Ireland to Scandinavia. It was likely coldest for the UK since 2016 but […]

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Europe Winter Forecast 2019-2020

Written by on November 2, 2019 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 2 Comments
Europe Winter Forecast 2019-2020

Welcome to my 10th annual winter forecast for Europe. This marks the 10th anniversary of the greatest winter of my lifetime and my greatest long range forecast. 2009-10 was a true old fashioned winter and a winter which will be firmly entrenched in my mind forever. It was a winter of frequent and often big […]

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Europe November 2019 Outlook

Written by on October 24, 2019 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
Europe November 2019 Outlook

Atlantic low pressure has been a dominant feature over the northeast Atlantic/northwest Europe bringing a very wet October with record rainfall. The 3 former tropical cyclones which got caught by the westerlies and crossed a warmer than normal North Atlantic into Ireland and the UK enhanced the rainfall this month. Low pressure has resulted in […]

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