Archive for September, 2014

UK/EUROPE: Autumn Finally Catching Up With Calendar Following Driest Sept On Record

Written by on September 30, 2014 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
UK/EUROPE: Autumn Finally Catching Up With Calendar Following Driest Sept On Record

It looks like September ends as driest on record or since 1911 for the UK. No real surprise given there was no recovery to wetter during the second half of the month. Well as the old saying goes, nothing last’s forever and in the world of weather and our atmosphere, a pattern will only last so long […]

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TUE 30 SEP: VOGAN’S EUROPEAN OUTLOOK

Written by on September 30, 2014 in Videos with 0 Comments
TUE 30 SEP: VOGAN’S EUROPEAN OUTLOOK

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US October Outlook: Progressive West-East Pattern But Look For Colder West, Warmer East

Written by on September 29, 2014 in United States of America with 0 Comments
US October Outlook: Progressive West-East Pattern But Look For Colder West, Warmer East

As stated many a time now, I think fall is warmer than normal for much of the country but we may find a pool of cool in the Rockies, possibly extending eastward through the Plains where the troughs like to dig more. However, the warm water off the East Coast and stronger than normal Bermuda high means resistance for […]

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MON 29 SEP: VOGAN’S EUROPEAN OUTLOOK

Written by on September 29, 2014 in Videos with 0 Comments
MON 29 SEP: VOGAN’S EUROPEAN OUTLOOK

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EUROPE: Classic October Weather Is On It’s Way

Written by on September 29, 2014 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
EUROPE: Classic October Weather Is On It’s Way

Good morning! Changes are being seen by all models this upcoming 7-14 day period with the NAO dropping back towards neutral then negative. This to me suggests more wet than cold. Saying that the AO is going negative too say perhaps I should watch the potential air masses coming down closely. I’ve stated for some time now […]

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First Look At The JMA: Another Cold Outlook For US & UK…

First Look At The JMA: Another Cold Outlook For US & UK…

It’s safe to say that I am hesitant at committing yet to the upcoming winter following the bust of last year. I feel much more confident about a cold winter ahead for the Central and Eastern United States but not so much for Western Europe. I know where I went wrong last year and also know why I should sway […]

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SUN 28 SEP: VOGAN’S EUROPEAN/NORTH AMERICAN (LR) OUTLOOK

Written by on September 28, 2014 in Videos with 0 Comments
SUN 28 SEP: VOGAN’S EUROPEAN/NORTH AMERICAN (LR) OUTLOOK

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US OUTLOOK: Mild West To East Flow To Rule Into Early/Mid October

Written by on September 26, 2014 in United States of America with 0 Comments
US OUTLOOK: Mild West To East Flow To Rule Into Early/Mid October

With both NAO and AO positive, the zonal, Pacific flow pattern rules next 2, possibly 3 weeks across the US. This day 3-10 500mb height anomaly chart says it all. Expect above normal temps with west to east flow. CFSv2 has the same idea for October in it’s 200mb height anomaly. Note the negative over Greenland representing to positive […]

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Atlantic Becoming Very Stormy But Europe Is Protected By Blocking High!

Written by on September 26, 2014 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
Atlantic Becoming Very Stormy But Europe Is Protected By Blocking High!

Thanks to a steep pressure gradient between a 960 Norwegian Sea low and 1024 high over southern England, winds are blowing hard out of the west across the Northern UK, even stronger up over Orkney, Shetland and the Faroe Isles. It’s a classic autumnal feel, a good old leaf stripper while southern England and Wales […]

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FRI 26 SEP: VOGAN’S EUROPEAN OUTLOOK

Written by on September 26, 2014 in Videos with 0 Comments
FRI 26 SEP: VOGAN’S EUROPEAN OUTLOOK

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