Archive for September, 2014
It looks like September ends as driest on record or since 1911 for the UK. No real surprise given there was no recovery to wetter during the second half of the month. Well as the old saying goes, nothing last’s forever and in the world of weather and our atmosphere, a pattern will only last so long […]
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As stated many a time now, I think fall is warmer than normal for much of the country but we may find a pool of cool in the Rockies, possibly extending eastward through the Plains where the troughs like to dig more. However, the warm water off the East Coast and stronger than normal Bermuda high means resistance for […]
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Good morning! Changes are being seen by all models this upcoming 7-14 day period with the NAO dropping back towards neutral then negative. This to me suggests more wet than cold. Saying that the AO is going negative too say perhaps I should watch the potential air masses coming down closely. I’ve stated for some time now […]
It’s safe to say that I am hesitant at committing yet to the upcoming winter following the bust of last year. I feel much more confident about a cold winter ahead for the Central and Eastern United States but not so much for Western Europe. I know where I went wrong last year and also know why I should sway […]
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With both NAO and AO positive, the zonal, Pacific flow pattern rules next 2, possibly 3 weeks across the US. This day 3-10 500mb height anomaly chart says it all. Expect above normal temps with west to east flow. CFSv2 has the same idea for October in it’s 200mb height anomaly. Note the negative over Greenland representing to positive […]
Thanks to a steep pressure gradient between a 960 Norwegian Sea low and 1024 high over southern England, winds are blowing hard out of the west across the Northern UK, even stronger up over Orkney, Shetland and the Faroe Isles. It’s a classic autumnal feel, a good old leaf stripper while southern England and Wales […]
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