The unusually dry final 7-10 days of August helped rank summer 2021 as one of the driest on record for Scotland. Thanks to dominant high latitude blocking through the June-August period (possibly aided by low solar), northern areas have seen the least rain while parts of south and east England have been fairly wet. Some […]
For Northwest Europe (Ireland, UK, France, Low Countries), it’s been a summer of mixed fortunes with spells of wet, dry, cool and warm with of course the relatively long lived warm to hot spell which during mid July. An unusual back to back flash flood event struck London ahead and after a pretty average 7-day […]
June 2021 will go down as a warm month across Europe but not without it’s twists and turns. A pattern dominated largely by high pressure but with southerly positioned cut of lows which made for a very wet June over central and northern France and southern Britain. ‘Mirror image’ Omega blocking pattern creates extreme weather […]
Welcome to my 11th annual UK, Europe summer forecast. As always, when compiling this forecast for the upcoming June-August period there are multiple factors which I have taken into consideration. They include the past winter pattern, type of spring just observed as well as other factors including current ENSO state, global and regional sea surface temperature […]
As is often the case with prolonged ‘stuck patterns’ featuring high latitude blocking, we can flip from one extreme to the other and that’s certainly been the case in terms of rainfall between April and May. As for temperature, well it’s been pretty much continuously below average since the end of March. Since the UK […]
The unusually dry final 7-10 days of August helped rank summer 2021 as one of the driest on record for Scotland. Thanks to dominant high latitude blocking through the June-August period (possibly aided by low solar), northern areas have seen the least rain while parts of south and east England have been fairly wet. Some […]
For Northwest Europe (Ireland, UK, France, Low Countries), it’s been a summer of mixed fortunes with spells of wet, dry, cool and warm with of course the relatively long lived warm to hot spell which during mid July. An unusual back to back flash flood event struck London ahead and after a pretty average 7-day […]
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