Welcome to my 10th annual European summer forecast. As always, when compiling this forecast for the upcoming June-August period there are multiple factors which have been taken into consideration which could influence the summer pattern. These include global and regional sea surface temperature anomalies, the current and projected ENSO state, the mild, wet winter followed […]
April couldn’t have been more different to February for Western Europe with frequent Atlantic lows (active rossby wave train) bringing record rainfall to the UK. This ‘stuck’ pattern was abruptly replaced by only another stuck pattern, a blocked high (stationary wave) which brought 4 straight weeks without a drop of rain for some. The tap […]
Based on all the current parameters and model projection, the 2020 Atlantic Hurricane Season is likely to be busy one. However, let’s keep in mind that although 9 out of 10 factors can align perfectly, it just takes one factor to significantly suppress development or intensification in a seemingly perfect environment, e.g Saharan dust, wind […]
While Easter 2020 will be far from anything anybody’s witnessed before, the weather will actually be not too dissimilar to last year which turned out record warm throughout the UK. An eery empty #A9 near #Aviemore at 2pm in the middle of the #EasterWeekend. Something you'll 'hopefully' never see again… #Covid19 #UKlockdown pic.twitter.com/QgudvgDpSm — MarkVoganWeather.com […]
A strong, stable stratospheric polar vortex dominated much of the 2019-20 boreal winter, driving warm oceanic air across the continents. We’ve almost certainly observed the warmest winter since the beginning of the satellite era (1979) throughout the Northern Hemisphere. Globally, January 2020 was earth’s warmest since the beginning of the satellite era in 1979. Following […]
April couldn’t have been more different to February for Western Europe with frequent Atlantic lows (active rossby wave train) bringing record rainfall to the UK. This ‘stuck’ pattern was abruptly replaced by only another stuck pattern, a blocked high (stationary wave) which brought 4 straight weeks without a drop of rain for some. The tap […]
A strong, stable stratospheric polar vortex dominated much of the 2019-20 boreal winter, driving warm oceanic air across the continents. We’ve almost certainly observed the warmest winter since the beginning of the satellite era (1979) throughout the Northern Hemisphere. Globally, January 2020 was earth’s warmest since the beginning of the satellite era in 1979. Following […]
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