June 2020 has been a changeable month with some spots seeing below normal rainfall, for others, considerably above normal. That’s the nature of thunderstorms and their localized nature. The first half of June was cool over Ireland and UK and downright chilly from Iberia to Italy, largely down to cloudier than normal skies and frequent […]
It’s been a May of stark rainfall and temperature contrasts. Thanks to the presence of an Atlantic weather front, heavy and persistent rain fell widely across Northwest Scotland with 141mm of rain fell within 48 hours at Achngart in Glen Shiel. In contrast, Benson, Oxfordshire has seen NO RAIN this month due to persistent high […]
Welcome to my 10th annual European summer forecast. As always, when compiling this forecast for the upcoming June-August period there are multiple factors which have been taken into consideration which could influence the summer pattern. These include global and regional sea surface temperature anomalies, the current and projected ENSO state, the mild, wet winter followed […]
April couldn’t have been more different to February for Western Europe with frequent Atlantic lows (active rossby wave train) bringing record rainfall to the UK. This ‘stuck’ pattern was abruptly replaced by only another stuck pattern, a blocked high (stationary wave) which brought 4 straight weeks without a drop of rain for some. The tap […]
Based on all the current parameters and model projection, the 2020 Atlantic Hurricane Season is likely to be busy one. However, let’s keep in mind that although 9 out of 10 factors can align perfectly, it just takes one factor to significantly suppress development or intensification in a seemingly perfect environment, e.g Saharan dust, wind […]
June 2020 has been a changeable month with some spots seeing below normal rainfall, for others, considerably above normal. That’s the nature of thunderstorms and their localized nature. The first half of June was cool over Ireland and UK and downright chilly from Iberia to Italy, largely down to cloudier than normal skies and frequent […]
It’s been a May of stark rainfall and temperature contrasts. Thanks to the presence of an Atlantic weather front, heavy and persistent rain fell widely across Northwest Scotland with 141mm of rain fell within 48 hours at Achngart in Glen Shiel. In contrast, Benson, Oxfordshire has seen NO RAIN this month due to persistent high […]
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