Seasonal Forecasts
While it noticeably warms up this week with many seeing their first 21C of the year, the models are suggesting the return of cooler than normal towards the end of April into May. The CFSv2 correctly shows a very warm continent through the upcoming 7 days with mid to upper 20s over parts of Poland, […]
I went for a walk into the the Drumochter Hills on Tuesday to bag another couple of munros. To the east of the A9 and just south of Dalwhinnie, I discovered huge snow drifts tucked within the narrow Coire nan Cisteachan gully between Carn na Caim and A’Bhuidheanach Bheag. So I went in for a closer […]
It’s been a truly historic opening week to April 2018. In fact there’s never been a colder start (in recorded history) for many cities in the Dakotas and Minnesota and for others, including Wisconsin, Illinois and Indiana and Ohio, the coldest in at least 80 years. Amazing to see 20 to 25 below normal for […]
It sure felt raw in the easterly breeze as I walked my kids to nursery both at 8am and 1pm today. The current wind direction and pressure pattern is very similar to late February/March but there’s big differences too. The easterly of 35 days ago came straight from Siberia and froze Europe en-route to the […]
The vast landmass of Eurasia endured an extreme March 2018 on both ends of the temperature ledger. Northern Europe shivered in one of coldest March’s while down in Middle East and sub-continental Asia it was warmest. The below information is credit to Etienne Kapikian and Maximiliano Herrera. March was a month of mixed global weather. Cold and […]
We’ve a nagging ESE flow this week with plenty of showers piling into the eastern UK with sun and April showers dominating further west. As we head into late week, the weekend and next week, the modelling shows a building of heights across the N UK which indicates a much more stable setup with mild […]
It’s been a brutally cold, mid-winter-like open to April for south-central Canada. Daily and even monthly all-time record cold highs and lows have been set. Snowcover may be fading over parts of southern MB, but snowpack remains extensive across the Prairies & nrn US (right image). Sat image comparison with Apr 5 2017 (left) Much […]
It’s a highly active rainy pattern for California and here’s a great article from Daniel Swain and the setup and more. Where do things stand now? The last blog post was about another incoming warm, wet Pineapple Express-style atmospheric river storm. That one did indeed end up packing a punch, but that punch landed a […]
It’s been a remarkable second half to winter and beginning of spring for Scotland. Following the coldest February since 2010 with Braemar recording it’s coldest daytime maximum in February, both March and April opened extreme with the TWO beast from the easts setting new monthly snow and cold records. Cities including Glasgow experienced their coldest […]
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