As forecasted now for days, we have a large temperature spread setting up next week across Europe as ridging and warmth builds north from Iberia to the UK while arctic cold drops south over Scandinavia. Expect highs into the 21-27C range early next week over the UK while temperatures may struggle to get much above freezing over central and northern Norway, Sweden and Finland with snow.
Here’s the GFS 850mb temps for Wednesday and note the sprawling wheel of low pressure drawing arctic air down over Scandinavia while warmth pushes north into the UK.
Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro
Here’s Thursday
Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro
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The GFS 168 hour snow chart is bullish and bringing snow to a large area including the Baltic States and Russia.
Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro
Check out the early Wednesday afternoon temperatures according to the GFS with low 20s over the southern UK at the same time northern Norway and Sweden is below freezing with snow likely falling. The majority of northern Europe will likely struggle to get much above 2-3C while parts of England soars to 25 or 26C.
Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro
Thursday morning is projected to drop into the low 20s F or the -3 to -6C range and this is likely to be underdone. It wouldn’t surprise me if some spots in the north, especially with snow cover sees record temps and lows below -10C or 14F.
Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro
NAO/AO remains a good indicator of colder times. Will be very interesting to see how the descending cold over Scandinavia interacts with the heat lifting north. Question I am asking, given the NAO projected to go as strongly negative, do we see the ridge lift north while the cold and trough dives south and simply the ridge core continues to lift north towards Iceland and eventually Greenland and the cold drifts underneath and into the UK.
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