After ‘weeks’ of rainless skies and high pressure dominance, the upper air pattern finally shifted and it was firstly Scotland’s turn to get the soaking on Monday, then northern England and Wales Tuesday followed by southern and eastern England Wednesday.
Ahead of the front, warm, moist, subtropical air flowing north, aided by sunshine allowed temperatures to top 30C in Paris yesterday and 26C in Kent Tuesday.
Looks like the warmest for Paris was 29.7C on the east side of the city.
The striking difference a week can make in Cumbria.
The waves of thundery downpours livened up as the boundary pushed into increasingly warmer and more humid air hence the flooding we witnessed in the Southeast and East Anglia. Basically, where warmest, the rain was heaviest with more fuel for the atmosphere to work with.
The heavy and persistent nature of our recent rains can be attributed to a Caribbean connection.
Hence the prefrontal humidity and mild few nights holding at 16C even here in Scotland.
Edinburgh still pretty dry compared to London this morning.
After a record warm day across parts of northern France, the very front which brought the heavy rain to southern England will break the heat in cities such as Paris in explosive fashion today.
Rather than an Icelandic high like we’ve seen in recent weeks extending back to March, we’ve now got an Icelandic low with high pressure pushed into Europe. The question is, is this the beginning of the end to drought concerns this summer or a blip?
GFS ensemble indicates a Atlantic lows will keep things active and wetter than normal over the next 7 days.
Interestingly the following week is still back to drier than normal.
Question I ask is this… Is the current wetter than normal period enough to dent the deficit?
FEATURED IMAGE CREDIT: Dorset Live Weather @DorsetLiveWeath
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