This seasonal forecast for the upcoming June-August 2017 period is based on past, present and forecasted atmospheric, oceanic and ground conditions. There are 3 main aspects I have looked at when compiling this forecast. 1) Past winter and current spring rainfall distribution. 2) sea surface temperature anomalies, particularly in the Atlantic and Pacific. 3) Current and forecasted ENSO (El Nino […]
The warm, wet theme continued for the UK and Ireland through March 2024 despite the most significant of three SSW’s ... Read More
Current Overview The current large-scale pattern is likely being driven or aided by a strong MJO rotation through phases 7-8-1 ... Read More
Meteorological winter 2023-24 draws to a close today. Given how mild February turned out to be, I think it’s safe ... Read More
It’s been a crazy past 6-12 months across large swathes of Asia. Relentless record heat with spells of extreme cold. ... Read More
It’s been quite the autumn and winter so far with excessive rains, swings back and forth of cold and warm ... Read More
While record warmth affects some, record cold affects others through the first half of January 2024. Scandinavia got in on ... Read More
December follows October and November as being a very wet month. It started cold and dry then turned very mild ... Read More
The heavy rains which affected the Northern UK during October shifted south to southern areas and particularly France during November. ... Read More
Welcome to my 14th Europe winter forecast. In this forecast, the conclusions drawn for the 90-day meteorological winter period will ... Read More
Key Factors Current Global state (ocean & land temperature anomaly) On a global scale, our oceans are about as warm ... Read More
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