Looks like June will wind up warmer than normal across Ireland and the British Isles, a lot of this down to the very warm, dry open but as forecasted back on May 22, it turned more unsettled as the Atlantic flow returned.
CREDIT: MICHAEL VENTRICE
Thanks to a persistent NE flow around high pressure north of the UK, the first half of June saw a stark west-east temperature contrast with well below normal down the North Sea Coast and well above in the sheltered west.
Credit: Met Office
Week 2 saw significant change to cooler and wetter across Ireland and UK while it’s remained cool and wet for much of the month across France.
Interestingly but not surprising, so far this June, the driest has been Shetland and wettest South Bonnington, East Midlands thanks to high pressure to north while frequent lines of thunderstorms swept NE over France and the South, Southeast UK. It’s turned a lot wetter in Aberdeenshire and across Scotland in the last week.
Credit: BBC Weather
How’s July Looking?
Current SSTA’s support the continuation of dominant Atlantic influence as warmer water west and south of the UK tends to feedback to lower pressure within the atmosphere and therefore increased rainfall. Cooler North Atlantic waters have been shrinking somewhat in recent weeks and this tends to encourage higher pressure.
CREDIT: TROPICAL TIDBITS
The Canadian is going right to my idea showing an Icelandic trough which is likely to keep Ireland and the UK unsettled with only brief surges of heat ahead of incoming Atlantic fronts.
CREDIT: TROPICAL TIDBITS
Precip anomaly
CREDIT: TROPICAL TIDBITS
2 metre temp anomaly
CREDIT: TROPICAL TIDBITS
FEATURED IMAGE CREDIT: Simon Cardy
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