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Europe March 2024 Outlook

Written by on February 29, 2024 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
Europe March 2024 Outlook

Meteorological winter 2023-24 draws to a close today. Given how mild February turned out to be, I think it’s safe to say many will quickly forget this one. That being said, it’s had it’s fair share of flips, extremes and oddities… From one of the coldest December openings since 2010 to heavy rains, multiple named […]

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Europe February 2024 Outlook (Scoring Winter So Far)

Written by on January 31, 2024 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
Europe February 2024 Outlook (Scoring Winter So Far)

It’s been quite the autumn and winter so far with excessive rains, swings back and forth of cold and warm as well as multiple storms. 10 named storms since 1 Sept through January Name Date named Date of impact on UK and/or Ireland and/or Netherlands Agnes 25 September 2023 27 – 28 September 2023 Babet […]

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Europe January 2024 Outlook

Written by on December 29, 2023 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
Europe January 2024 Outlook

December follows October and November as being a very wet month. It started cold and dry then turned very mild but also very wet. Christmas to New Year has seen it turn somewhat colder and snowier, especially in the north. The month overall coincides quite well with my December Outlook (scoring 8 out of 10) […]

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Europe December 2023 Outlook

Written by on December 2, 2023 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
Europe December 2023 Outlook

The heavy rains which affected the Northern UK during October shifted south to southern areas and particularly France during November. The final 10 days turned increasingly cold. November started extremely wet, on the heels of October… Eastern Scotland had its wettest October on record in a series which goes back to 1836. It was also: […]

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Europe Winter Forecast 2023-24

Written by on November 30, 2023 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
Europe Winter Forecast 2023-24

Welcome to my 14th Europe winter forecast. In this forecast, the conclusions drawn for the 90-day meteorological winter period will be based on the climate drivers currently at play. I’ll look at the current AMO & PDO state, El Nino, IOD, MJO, QBO, Solar. What could each driver mean individually and collectively? Another important factor […]

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Europe November 2023 Outlook

Written by on October 31, 2023 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
Europe November 2023 Outlook

As October draws to a wet, blustery end, here’s a look back at what we witnessed during October 2023. WHAT WAS SAID: Europe October 2023 Outlook What happened… Remarkably warm start to October following record warm September! Update 38.2 MONTORO NEW SPAIN OCTOBER RECORDRecords were obliterated with up to 6C margin with tropical nights even >1300m!First […]

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Winter 2023-24 Thoughts: Update #2

Written by on October 13, 2023 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
Winter 2023-24 Thoughts: Update #2

Key Factors Current Global state (ocean & land temperature anomaly) The planet is without doubt a warmer place now than a decade ago and currently in a steep warming trend unlike anything seen in the modern era. For the last time the earth dipped below average you have to go all the way back to […]

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Europe October 2023 Outlook

Written by on September 30, 2023 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
Europe October 2023 Outlook

Following a very interesting summer, September will go down as a quite remarkable month. We’ve seen it all with a full blown heatwave delivering the ‘warmest weather of the year’ to very unsettled conditions during the 2nd half with a named storm too. The month has also seen a dramatic tale of two halves. From […]

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Europe September 2023 Outlook (Summer ’23 Recap & Score!)

Written by on August 31, 2023 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
Europe September 2023 Outlook (Summer ’23 Recap & Score!)

As meteorological summer draws to a close, so it ends on a cool, showery note. However change appears to be on the horizon as a new season dawns. That change comes courtesy of a strong northward progressing hurricane as well as the wakening up of the MJO. It’s been quite a remarkable summer both in […]

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Europe August 2023 Outlook

Written by on July 29, 2023 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
Europe August 2023 Outlook

The difference between June and July 2023 just ending has been like chalk and cheese, polar opposites. High pressure (centred just N of Scotland) in June was replaced by low pressure (draped across Ireland, UK and Scandinavia) in July. From the warmest June on record (as per Met Office) to what looks likely to be […]

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