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For the UK and Ireland, April 2024 has been a distinct tail of two halves with mild, wet first half ... Read More
The below forecast is based on current and projected ENSO conditions across the equatorial Pacific, very warm Atlantic and ocean/atmosphere ... Read More
The warm, wet theme continued for the UK and Ireland through March 2024 despite the most significant of three SSW’s ... Read More
Current Overview The current large-scale pattern is likely being driven or aided by a strong MJO rotation through phases 7-8-1 ... Read More
Meteorological winter 2023-24 draws to a close today. Given how mild February turned out to be, I think it’s safe ... Read More
It’s been a crazy past 6-12 months across large swathes of Asia. Relentless record heat with spells of extreme cold. ... Read More
It’s been quite the autumn and winter so far with excessive rains, swings back and forth of cold and warm ... Read More
While record warmth affects some, record cold affects others through the first half of January 2024. Scandinavia got in on ... Read More
December follows October and November as being a very wet month. It started cold and dry then turned very mild ... Read More
The heavy rains which affected the Northern UK during October shifted south to southern areas and particularly France during November. ... Read More
I think the trough in the MEANS will persist but tough to give any real detail of course this far out. Keep checking the US posts and will keep you updated. Have a great weekend!
I am going to Charlottesville, Virginia, in early August. Perhaps I need to bring my rain clothes along with me, if this pattern persists. Heavy thunderstorms in the area would not be unlikely, I believe, If this trough stays more or less in the same position. It’s peculiar to see how the pattern of a deep digging polar vortex keeps playing a role in the summer over the US.
I will certainly keep an eye on this regularly, so that I can pack the right clothes for my trip.
How likely is it, Mark, that this pattern might play a role later on into August?