Spring 2015
The past 20 days has seen the eastward progression of the MJO across the Pacific with a ramp up in tropical cyclones initially over the western basin and in the last week, the eastern basin. The abnormal warmth in the east has aided the rapid formation and intensification of both Andres and Blanca. The Gulf will be the place to […]
We’ve reached another weekend and it’s yet another ‘tale of two halves’ with another low heavily influencing Northern Ireland and Scotland bringing strong winds and spells of heavy rain, much drier, brighter and therefore warmer into the bulk of England and Wales. Highs will range from 11C in the rain and wind but 21C in […]
The abnormally warm eastern Pacific waters, while driving a warm West and cold East winter the past 2 years, it’s now responsible for getting the 2015 East Pacific Hurricane Season off to a record start by spawning two major hurricanes already. It’s also been responsible for the mega Southern Plains drought buster and brought a weirdly cool, wet May […]
Tired of the wet weather? The good news is next week is looking good and probably will bring the most sustained spell of dry weather since April. Unfortunately if it’s summer warmth your looking for your going to be disappointed. The strong high building in off the Atlantic isn’t particularly warm by June standards and the […]
Well the much anticipated and well earned surge of summer late this week appears to be shorter and less intense than first seen by the models. We saw this in May and it’s happening again in June. Why might that be? WET GROUND and COLD NORTH ATLANTIC. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Just look at how much that cold water is […]
This is a very PROGRESSIVE US pattern. Notice in the below day 0-15 how the ridges and troughs move along. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] The ECMWF has the MJO influence on the US picking up as it crosses from 1 into 2 and eventually 3. These are progressive phases. Check out the Baja on the GFS! Potential for increased flood potential […]
There’s no question, it looked and felt more like late November or early December out there yesterday with a howling, cold wind along with heavy and persistent rain. Thank or blame an unusually deep, sub-980mb low which originated over Greenland days earlier. An abnormally cold Atlantic between Greenland and the UK likely helped maintain some of the low’s […]
Hello to meteorological summer of 2015… The pattern this month looks to be shaping up to be a very progressive one with warm surges coming and going only to be replaced by cool shots dropping out of Canada. Change is on the offing for the dry Eastern Seaboard while it’s finally heating up over the Desert Southwest […]
Summer is here… However, despite it being June 1 and officially summer now, it won’t look or feel like summer anywhere in the UK or Ireland today as a gale centre whips in potentially disruptive wind and rain later today into Tuesday. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] For a time, a belt of strong WSW winds may cause isolated issues […]
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