While models can still do a 360 10 days out, it looks pretty much a lock that we’ve cold diving south in time for Christmas. All the models show the same solution with predominantly mild this week. The question is how cold once we reach Christmas?
GFS ensemble shows significant warmth across the board mid week but MUCH colder by Christmas Eve/Day.
TUE AM
Credit: Tropical Tidbits
CHRISTMAS AM
Credit: Tropical Tidbits
ECMWF 850mb temp anomaly is even more impressive tomorrow morning vs Christmas morning.
Credit: Tropical Tidbits
Credit: Tropical Tidbits
CFSv2 weeklies also on board with warm front running 7 followed by very different following 7.
Credit: Tropical Tidbits
Credit: Tropical Tidbits
It remains cold week 3 which takes us into January and then interestingly the pattern breaks mid January.
Credit: Tropical Tidbits
Credit: Tropical Tidbits
GFS snow through 240 hrs
Credit: Tropical Tidbits
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