Amazingly, Ophelia has become the farthest east Category 3 MAJOR hurricane on record. It continues to set it’s sights on Ireland and western/northern UK early next week as a powerful and potentially destructive extra tropical cyclone. It hits bang on the 30th anniversary of the Great Storm!
Breaking – #HurricaneOphelia becomes record Category 3 hurricane for this far East in the Atlantic @ 15utc Max winds now 115mph and 960mb… pic.twitter.com/MVJXPdterw
— MeteoGib (@MeteoGib) October 14, 2017
Track more certain than strength
Track of transitioning Ophelia northwards along Ireland’s Atlantic coast looks pretty much a lock but intensity of the cyclone and it’s winds remain open to question.
Track up #Ireland's Atlantic coast is pretty much a lock but intensity at landfall remains open. Transition process is complex! #Ophelia pic.twitter.com/UzrSICxdFD
— MarkVoganWeather.com (@MarkVogan) October 14, 2017
The transition process can be tricky and has been known to see formation of sting jets which release stronger surface winds than projected by the models.
Credit: Tropical Tidbits
50-60kt gusts for Ireland’s exposed southern coast.
Credit: Tropical Tidbits
As of now, the below from the BBC Weather Centre looks pretty good.
⚠️Ireland's Met Eireann have already issued "RED" weather warnings for Monday/Monday night in Galway, Kerry, Clare, Cork & Mayo #Ophelia MT pic.twitter.com/XcengZEnrt
— BBC Weather (@bbcweather) October 14, 2017
Monday will be a day of huge contrasts. Peak of the heat in eastern England & damaging winds in western UK. #Ophelia Darren pic.twitter.com/QQwuDwoYth
— BBC Weather (@bbcweather) October 14, 2017
BREAKING: Irish Met Office issues highest possible 'Red' alert warning ahead of #HurricaneOphelia : https://t.co/cJwfZ6XOht pic.twitter.com/dPeB5GX56Y
— Airport Webcams (@AirportWebcams) October 14, 2017
Concern for coastal surge flooding
With sustained winds of 80-100 mph out of the South barely 100 miles off Ireland, I’m concerned about the pile up of water in a surge fashion along southern and eastern coasts combined with 80 mph gusts and battering waves of 15-25ft, 40-60ft offshore.
80+kt winds shown 100-200 miles off Ireland.
Credit: Tropical Tidbits
Surge flooding along Northern Ireland's SE coast poss with long fetch southerly gusting 80 mph. Kilkeel, Newcastle vulnerable. @JimCantore pic.twitter.com/n6bucriwTt
— MarkVoganWeather.com (@MarkVogan) October 14, 2017
Look for record high maximums and minimums in the coming days as Ophelia is essentially pulling the tropics northwards over the UK/Ireland.
Credit: Tropical Tidbits
Warm air this weekend and #HurricaneOphelia both linked… Darren pic.twitter.com/UP6t2aYzjs
— BBC Weather (@bbcweather) October 14, 2017
FEATURED IMAGE CREDIT: Trevor Dubber Photos @DubberTrevor
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