While it’s mild if not warm right now over the East, this won’t last and I have been banging home this point for 10 days now. The warmth was always looking impressive but what will follow is likely to be equally as impressive.
The next couple of days for me will remain warm with highs in the upper 70s to around 80 degrees. I’m in Savannah, GA for another night and then I believe we’re heading up the coast to spend a night in Charleston, SC where the high there Monday should warm to near 80. Incredible warmth for mid-January. Highs will reach near 60 all the way to Newark or NYC Monday before the front swings through the Northeast Cities Tuesday. Highs Tuesday won’t make it out of the low 40s and there is a chance of seeing snow flakes fly, perhaps as far south as Washington DC.
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Below is the ECMWF 500mb heights for today. Note the axis of the ridge now sliding off the East Coast as the trough Out West broadens. This orientation will force the warmest air yet right up into the Big Cities thanks to a strong SW flow.
Courtesy/Owned by WeatherBELL Models
Here in the Southeast the warmth holds till midweek and then the trough will bring a significant height reduction. By late week, expect highs back down into the 50s, low 60s over the Southeast.
So, the first front swings through Tuesday and this will bring a spell of heavy rain through the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic which may be followed by some wet snow on the backside into Wednesday but late next week, highs may stay in the low to mid-30s from Philadelphia on north with 20s and 10s up in New England.
Here are the projected 500mb heights for Friday.
Courtesy/Owned by WeatherBELL Models
The moral so far is that through next week, the temperatures over the Eastern US will return to somewhat more normal levels for the time of year, however, it doesn’t quite end there.
Check out this for the following week!
192 hrs
Courtesy/Owned by WeatherBELL Models
216 hrs
Courtesy/Owned by WeatherBELL Models
240 hrs
Courtesy/Owned by WeatherBELL Models
These charts suggest that some impressive arctic air is on the way with highs possible staying in the single digits over Chicago, near 10 in Cleveland, Cincinnati, teens over the interior Northeast and perhaps low to mid-20s up through the Big Cities including Washington DC. Sub-zero high are likely over New England for a few days between Jan 19-24.
Lows could fall below zero for a few nights in Chicago all the way to central, eastern PA with lows near 10 in the Major Cities of the NE.
Stay tuned.
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