We know the cold is coming but unless you have snow on the ground, depth of cold remains limited and for days now, the models had the edge of the ‘snow on the ground’ west of the Big Cities along I-95.
However before I go into the talk of snow and cold, check out the subtropical entity spinning between Bermuda and Hattaras!
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Why do we have this in JANUARY? Only have to look at how warm waters are off the East Coast.
Now back to the snow and yes the models are now seeing snow reach the Big Cities and there’s more legitimate storm potential with phasing and secondary coastal development in the day 10-15 range as they respond more with the strong negative NAO and negative tilt.
As for next week, the first chance for the Big Cities comes with a cold clipper system dropping out of Canada.
GFS next 7 day snow cover.
ECMWF
The first system this weekend looks to be a Midwest snow with 4-8 inch swath from Plains to Great Lakes while it’s rain if anything on the EC.
The first chance for the cities and coast comes with next week’s clipper then it goes quite and colder for a time.
This could drop a quite few inches and will be followed by the coldest air of the season.
GFS surface
850mb temps
Then we gaze into fantasy land and there’s two major coastal storms seen by the GFS.
Tue 19th
Fri 22nd
Meanwhile out in California. Check out the snow that’s fallen at Big Bear! 30 inches!
CA not alone, Arizona’s been getting it too.
See video for the discussion.
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