‘Abnormally Dry’ Conditions Extend Into Northern Plains, CFSv2 Seeing Warm Summer

Written by on March 24, 2015 in Spring 2015, United States of America with 0 Comments

While the remainder of spring 2015 is looking wet across much of the country, we’re beginning to see hints of drought now into the Northern Tier. This follows a drier than normal winter.

In today’s video I showed the CFSv2 precip and temps for April through July and it looks like the model is going for warmer than normal right where the the dryness is appearing.

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This makes for 3 areas of concern 1) California/Southwest 2) Mid-South and 3) N Plains for increased dry and increasingly hot conditions as a result.

usT2mSeaInd1

usT2mSeaInd2

Will be interesting to see whether the Alaska ridge/eastern trough, colder than normal Great Lakes and wet expected over the Heartland will counteract this potential drought and therefore heat situation over the Dakotas and Minnesota.

CFSv2 has wettest conditions further south.

usPrecSeaInd1

usPrecSeaInd2

Before we get to the heat and humidity of summer, we’ve plenty more chill to get through.

MJO is progressing into phases 1, 2 and 3.

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All cold phases.

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It’s snowing and accumulating in Chicago as of this writing.

WeatherBug

WeatherBug

AccuWeather

AccuWeather

See video for today’s discussion.

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