Seasonal Forecasts
Well I was on the road from lunchtime yesterday till the early hours of this morning and when I got up, I was half expecting to come on here this morning to see a warmer run of the GFS for Christmas. Well that’s not the case and continues to show a cold Christmas and even colder […]
I’m not feeling particularly enthusiastic about snow potential in the East with the weekend system but it will be beneficial for Texas. California and it’s drought continues to be pounded but some respite is on the way next week as ridging returns. That ridging marks the beginning of a colder pattern from the Plains to East Coast. […]
Unfortunately I’m about to hit the road so just a brief write-up today. Be sure to watch the video for more details. Modelling continues to lean more and more towards the cold idea for the end of December beginning of January with blocking over Davis Straits and Greenland. The latest GFS is pretty wild and […]
There’s more confidence in the late December/start of January period but nailing down the details of the upcoming 7-10 days is a little more tricky. Lot’s of uncertainty and shifting around of solutions to the system which develops over Texas and heads up the coast. How much cold air get’s involved? The reason, it could […]
The current up and down pattern looks to remain through Christmas Day with the models pushing a low across (just north of Scotland) Christmas Day which could drive enough Greenland source air behind to make for a chilly day with snow showers pushing across the Northern UK. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] The best chance of a ‘white […]
Despite taking yesterday off, there’s no change in the medium and long range idea. The Arctic Oscillation is ready to go back negative as heights build north. A ‘bridging ridge’ between Alaska and Greenland towards the end of the month could lead to a major cold outbreak for the Lower 48 and not just a cold […]
I am becoming increasingly optimistic and excited about the end of December, beginning of January period as the models keep showing what all winter lovers want to see, a -NAO/AO with blocking highs over both Alaska and Greenland which hook up resulting in twin negatives underneath. IMAGE CREDIT: William Smith [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Up till now we’ve […]
One model run doesn’t make a forecast but when looking at the new run of the GFS, I must say it got me excited and if you love winter and live in the Midwest and East, well it should get you excited too. It’s been stated for some time now that the period around Christmas towards New […]
I see little change in this cold, unsettled NORTHWEST driven pattern for UK and near continent next 10 days or so but as we head towards Christmas and particularly New Year/early January, I like what the models are beginning to see. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] CFSv2 week 3 and 4 as shown in the video shows building […]
California continues to pounded by heavy rain, howling winds and even a TORNADO! Check out this stunning video of a likely tornado ripping off roofs and causing significant damage in South LA. http://youtu.be/P5qV68pw6iU Here’s the set up with split jet as it approaches the West Coast! [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] GFS surface shows the next wave of […]
Recent Comments