Seasonal Forecasts
Despite a still ATLANTIC pattern and firmly positive NAO, winter has definitely made it’s presence felt across a large swathe of Ireland, UK and parts of the near continent. The northwest flow has become more pronounced following the big low of a few days ago. Snowfall has become pretty substantial above 2-300m with ice and dusting to […]
Across northern areas of the Republic, Northern Ireland and the UK, it’s been another cold, windy and snowy day with more thunder, lightning and hail thrown in for good measure. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] While further snow showers pile in from a more northerly direction over Scotland with a significant ice risk developing tonight, it’s all eyes on […]
The storm is hitting and for some it’s hitting hard. Here it’s been very windy borderline stormy but nothing new for winter. What I will say is that the waves generated by this thing are impressive. It’s also a cold storm with icy gales not the mild gales of last year. We’ve seen blizzard conditions […]
There’s a lot going on with the upcoming Northeast snowstorm and California rainstorm but when looking out into the 1-3 week period, boy have we not some exciting indicators starting to reveal themselves. Latest snowfall forecast for the Northeast through 168 hours off ECMWF. NWS in the Bay Area are geared up for a smacking mid […]
Thanks to the direction which which Atlantic lows and their cold fronts have dropped into the UK, winter has well and truly arrived in the UK. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Above 200 metres, there’s plenty of snow cover now in place and despite a very brief ‘warm-up’ during Tuesday, then next shot comes in behind a particularly […]
This seasonal forecast for the US is based on the signals nature has already presented to us and data available as well as past analog years. With the still warmer than normal northeast Pacific, the development of a weak, possibly moderate El Nino into winter (central Pacific positioned), an easterly QBO and significant Siberian snow cover… The Central and Eastern US looks poised for […]
This seasonal forecast for the UK, Ireland and rest of Europe is based on the signals nature has already presented to us and data available as well as past analog years. With the development of a weak, possibly moderate El Nino into winter (central Pacific positioned), the progression into an easterly QBO within a downward trend in solar cycle 24 (but not minimum), a […]
More ‘signs’ which suggest cold for down the road… Snow advancement/extent over Siberia through October has been greatest in decades… Check out this eye-catching graphic tweeted by Anthony Sagliani. Is this significant to our winter ahead? The OPI (October Pattern Index) has been firmly negative this year which can be a signal to cold for the approaching […]
As expected, we’re seeing some major early season snow burying parts of the Alps. All thanks to moisture Gonzalo pushing into the cold, polar air sweeping down from Russia. While the Alps get hammered, so northeast and east Europe shivers. Austria this morning. Image via @Weathertoski It’s not just the Alps or Germany but here’s […]
In today’s write-up and video I thought I would show you the past January through March precipitation distribution and well as the month of April and past 7 days. Rather interesting when you compare these charts to the CFSv2 temperatures for the fast approaching meteorological summer season. TOP IMAGE CREDIT: Oldham Weather @ChadWeather [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] All […]
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