Major US Arctic Outbreak Likely To Open 2015

Written by on December 17, 2014 in United States of America, Winter 2014/15 with 0 Comments

I’m not feeling particularly enthusiastic about snow potential in the East with the weekend system but it will be beneficial for Texas. California and it’s drought continues to be pounded but some respite is on the way next week as ridging returns. That ridging marks the beginning of a colder pattern from the Plains to East Coast.

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The arctic reservoir is locked up in far northern Canada and over the Arctic itself right now but as heights rise northward, so the door is opened up next week. I’m confident that another arctic air mass will cover a large swath of the country between Dec 25-Jan 1. Look at the turnaround in height anomalies between 3 and 216 hrs in the GFS charts below.

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

The 5,000ft levels temps show how quickly Canada turns into an icebox (within the next 5 days)

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

GFS surface shows the return of the arctic high.

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

gfs384---namericawide-216-A-mslpthkpcp_white

gfs384---namericawide-240-A-mslpthkpcp_white

gfs384---namericawide-276-A-mslpthkpcp_white

gfs384---conus-240-A-mslpthkpcp_white

10m winds at 168 hrs show a cross polar flow.

gfs---namericawide-168-A-10mwindstream

As for snow cover.

Current

nsm_depth_2014121705_National

GFS through the next 7 days

gfs-null--conus-168-A-frozen_cover10

ECMWF somewhat more bullish.

ecmwfued-null--conus-168-A-frozen_cover10

Even more so by day 10!

ecmwfued-null--conus-240-A-frozen_cover10

See video for today’s discussion.

[/s2If][s2If current_user_cannot(access_s2member_level1)][magicactionbox id=”18716″][/s2If]

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