Seasonal Forecasts
As we head for the fall, the influence of El Nino (already a big player) will only grow stronger. While many including myself ask whether the warm pool in North Pacific or equatorial Pacific wins out, it’s going to be interesting just how wet this winter will be in California. The US has already experienced significant […]
It’s been a wet open to Friday, stormy for some but there’s rarely a west to east split in precipitation than this morning. While bone dry in Glasgow, it was pouring it down 35 miles east in Edinburgh. Of course heavy rainfall has made for travel issues through the heart of England too. The GFS […]
Article by Watts Up With That UAH Global Temperature Report: July 2015 – the pause continues Anthony Watts / 25 mins ago August 13, 2015 Global climate trend since Nov. 16, 1978: +0.11 C per decade July temperatures (preliminary) Global composite temp.: +0.18 C (about 0.32 degrees Fahrenheit) above 30-year average for July. Northern Hemisphere: +0.33 […]
It was another hot day under a blazing August sun yesterday. Paris topped 33C while it soared to 38C in Bucharest. However, it’s all eyes on what’s lifting out of the Bay of Biscay, a system born over the warm waters, fuelled by Mediterranean warmth and humidity shall lift north over northern France into the southern […]
Here’s the CFSv2 precipitation and temperature for Sep/Oct. Interesting to see how the CFSv2 takes the wetter than normal east into the Southeast as we enter the heart of fall. Temperature wise, I think there’s a good deal of warm, settled and tranquil weather for a large portion of the country, possibly remaining on the […]
With the undisputed help of a cold Atlantic has supported a cool summer for Ireland and UK while the strong El Nino and warm Mediterranean has led to a hot, dry summer for much of the continental mainland. A persistent trough extending from Iceland to UK has forced a cooler than normal June, July and likely August period and with […]
The 2015 Atlantic hurricane season is quiet, NHC has issued its quietest hurricane forecast ever with a 90% chance of a below normal season. The cooler-than normal water through the tropical Atlantic is a small part of the reason. The strongest El Nino since 1997 is one of two major factors, the other is the contrast in warm […]
In today’s post I wanted to share with you an interesting article I came across on Netweather.tv. A theory about a very possible connection between El Nino and European heat waves. Given that I base my own forecasts on connections with major global drivers such as El Nino and SSTA’s, I very much believe there’s […]
When it comes to Texas in 2015, the El Nino gives then takes. It’s been about as extreme as it gets when it comes to flips in weather pattern. After a record wet and therefore cool April, May and for some, June too, the weather flipped big time to a dry and therefore hot July and […]
An unusually strong upper ridge has been dominated across Europe for much of the 2015 summer and in the last 5 days, the latest heat burst has been shifting north from France through Germany and now all the way into the Baltic countries. This past weekend for many across the Southern UK and a large […]
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