Seasonal Forecasts
It’s been a fairly decent week overall with plenty of warm sunshine on offer and it’s felt more like it should for the time of year across Northern Ireland and Scotland. In the sunshine yesterday, temperatures reached 24.4C in Northwest Highland Scotland and despite the cloud today, it remains fairly muggy as an Icelandic low draws […]
First and foremost, we have Tropical Storm Danny out over the east central Atlantic and showing strong signs of becoming 2015’s first hurricane. Latest visible satellite imagery shows a little eye within Danny. The NHC has this as a hurricane crossing the northern Lesser Antilles early next week. Model spray for Danny. Does this have any threat on the […]
Well, the medium to long range period is becoming harder to forecast. We’re about to enter a transitional period where summer wanes and autumn begins. Always a challenging time for forecasting. Especially when we’re experiencing such a strong El Nino and we have such a chilly AMO. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Following a spell of relatively settled […]
During the summer months when forecasting US weather, one must watch what’s going on the other side of the Pacific and when there’s typhoons, we pay particular attention. The Pacific has indeed been very active this year, largely down to the strong El Nino and warm PDO. The development of typhoons is one thing but […]
Over the next 48 hours we will have our weather coming in from both sides. In from the North Sea (today) and from Atlantic (tomorrow) and so today’s sunshine and relative warmth in the West means a cool, steady rain in the East, expect the opposite tomorrow as the eastern front (associated with the Scandinavian blocking high) fades, then allows for an Atlantic front, […]
A large and deepening low crossing southern Canada has caused a sharp drop in temperatures over the N Plains with Pierre, SD going from 104 Saturday to the 60s today. As for points further east within the SW flow and strong August sun, temps are on the rise with widespread 90s up and down the East […]
As expected, the UK is sandwiched between fronts with clear, settled conditions in between. While the Atlantic tries to throw the next low our way, the expanding Scandinavian high with wind and rain along it’s western flank is attempting to push in from the North Sea and will do tonight and tomorrow. This is an […]
The ridge that has been baking Texas has shifted west allowing showers and storms as far south as Houston. As well as building the heat west, it’s drove north, forcing highs to 107 degrees in Montana, 104 in North Dakota yesterday. Hot day yesterday was followed by a warm night in Montana. It was another hot day for Texas as […]
It seems every month according to NOAA and NASA are the warmest EVER. May was warmest, June was warmest and now July is warmest. That’s globally of course! With the strong El Nino well underway, let’s face it. Those on the global warming side of the argument need to push the warmth since this is […]
After a prolonged and persistent pattern in which low pressure with frequent spells of cool, wet and at times windy conditions dominated Northwest Europe and high pressure with dry, hot conditions over much of the continent, we appear to have a change in the upper air pattern as we approach autumn 2015’s first month. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Quite often, […]
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