Seasonal Forecasts
Well the GFS has hands down beaten the ECMWF on Bertha’s track as well as intensity, deepening from 1001mb off SW Britain to now nearer 978mb off Aberdeen. As Bertha tracked NNE the system continued to deepen as seen by the GFS with wind speeds and rainfall increasing. The combination of Highland topography and very warm water (compared to normal) over […]
While a prolonged and deadly heat wave impacts Japan further south, major typhoon Soudelor slams Taiwan and China producing 145 mph wind gusts in Japan’s Ryukyu Islands and dumps over 50 inches of rain in Taiwan. 6 Straight Days Above 35C [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Tokyo Heat Wave Lasted Eight Days, Doubling All-Time Record; 55 Confirmed Dead in Japan By […]
The focus of heat has been over central and eastern Europe this month with all-time records being challenged in Berlin, Warsaw and several other central and eastern cities. There’s is a definite connection between and hot Europe and El Nino. If we go back over the years, 1994, 1998, 2003, 2006, 2015, all produced MAJOR heat during the summer […]
UPDATED: Sat Aug 8: In summer, in Texas, when dry, you fry! A very dry July has set the stage for a hot start to August. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT…CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX 838 AM CDT SUN AUG 2 2015 …VERY DRY CONDITIONS DEVELOPED ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS IN JULY… NOTE…CORRECTIONS WERE MADE TO THE […]
Live in Scotland, Ireland or northern England, take note, it looks like we’ve FINALLY got some warm and more settled weather coming next week.. Yippy! As for the here and now first, well it’s a decent Friday for most with sun and scattered showers. Remaining cool for NI Ireland and Scotland but the warmth is […]
As pointed out in the summer forecast issued back on April 1, strong El Nino summers often turn drier and warmer in Texas during August and September and sure enough it’s turning drier and at this time of year that means only one thing, warmer! I recall my first ever trip to the US and it […]
In all honestly, I am still very undecided about where I am going with the upcoming winter. The below CFSv2 and Jamstec runs for the Dec 2015-Feb 2016 period are near opposite but both believable in their own right. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Note the CFSv2 below is going for a cool autumn then warm winter. Wet […]
First and foremost, the system that was a mega rain producer for west-central Florida through the weekend and a possible contender of becoming a depression yesterday is now dwindling as it heads out to sea. Visible satellite is very unimpressive this morning. It was fun and games through the Mid-Atlantic and coastal Northeast yesterday as […]
Tired of this cool, wet theme? Don’t fret, on the whole (except far N/W) we’ve got a more settled pattern developing for the late Wednesday through Saturday period. Unfortunately the next sizable Icelandic low heralds our next spell of wind and rain during Sunday. Before ridging builds in briefly, we’ve got to get through today’s rain spreading NNE through Ireland, Western & […]
The very system which has dropped 10-30 inches of rain around the Tampa Bay area in the last 3-5 days is now showing signs of life as it skirts the Carolina coast. The visible and infrared satellite view this evening suggests the warm coastal waters and a reduction in mid and high level wind shear is having influence, […]
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