Seasonal Forecasts
I’m on BBC Radio 4’s ‘What’s The Point Of? tomorrow @ 9am or 9.30pm. Tune in! FM: 92.5–96.1 or online http://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/b06418l5 The Met Office What’s the Point of…?, Series 7 Episode 1 of 4 Quentin Letts begins a new series casting a critical but amicable eye across institutions at the heart of British life, asking the question […]
For folks across Ireland and Scotland in particular, it’s just another autumn day in summer. Just another low that shouldn’t be affecting us at a time. The past two summers we’re quite different with plenty of opportunity to wear shorts, sun screen and enjoy a BBQ. Blame the COLD Atlantic as well as the sharp gradient between colder […]
You don’t need a hurricane, tropical storm or even depression to cause major flooding issues in a flat location. Just an old and dying frontal boundary which gets stuck over 85-degree waters. While shear has exhausted any organisation potential, a large mass of deep convection stuck over Florida for days now has resulted in persistent tropical rains. The flood situation in and around the Tampa Bay […]
I will be the first to say that I have put out some disappointing and poor seasonal forecasts but also some highly successful ones. Comes with the territory. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Probably my most notable of successful seasonal forecasts was winter 2009-10 which went against the mild, wet trend and went against a lot of ‘warm forecasts’. It even got […]
While temperatures climbed into the respectable 24-27C category today (Sunday) across Southern and Eastern England, cloud and outbreaks of rain kept Northern Ireland and Scotland disappointing. Now where have you heard that before? Hum. While tonight’s a wet and breezy one, we actually have a warm front lifting north and during tomorrow (Monday), skies should […]
It’s been a July of contrasts over the Western United States (particularly compared to NORMAL) with record hot and dryness for the Pacific Northwest, cool and wet over the Southwest. The heat has been intensifying in response to worsening drought up in the Pacific Northwest. Seattle, WA has just recorded an all-time record 11 days at or above 90F this […]
This has been a remarkable meteorological July for the UK and indeed England. With double the normal rainfall over parts of Scotland while temperature extremes and records have occurred on both ends of the scale at both ends of the month. The month started like this… ended like this! It averaged out below normal. [s2If […]
The heat has been relentless and often unbearable throughout the Middle East. Temperatures are surpassed 120 degrees across the majority of Iraq with AccuWeather claiming that Baghdad has tied it’s all-time record of 124 degrees (51C) yesterday afternoon. However, there is worse down along the coast! Scalding hot, desert air combined with onshore winds blowing off the hottest body of water […]
Within the past 10 days, I posted an article on the gruelling heat wave torturing Iraq. As expected, yet another surge of extreme heat is bringing temperatures widely above 120F, forcing the government to issue it’s second ‘heat holiday’. These were the values reached during the last heat wave. This holiday, like the last is due to the combination […]
This has been a disappointing summer for many, particularly for western and northern parts of the British Isles and Ireland. However, from a meteorological standpoint, it’s been fascinating, quite extreme and probably has been one of the weirdest and most extreme that I can remember. We started with the UK’s hottest July reading of 36.7C […]
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