Seasonal Forecasts
It’s turned considerably more unsettled across the UK, Ireland and Northwest Europe this week thanks to a pretty significant shift in the upper pattern. This has brought an abrupt end to our sustained spell of dry, settled weather and in response, storm and flood weary southern Europe catches a proper break. The jet stream has lost it’s split […]
There’s strong cross model agreement on this Western trough, eastern ridge pattern anchoring itself over the US through Nov 20th at least. This means systems will frequently push in off the Pacific bringing wind, rain and snow. Much needed moisture for so many! Texas and the Southern Plains into the Mid-South on the other hand don’t need anymore […]
It’s that time of your when folks typically wrap-up and head out with the kids to watch a local bonfire and fireworks display. For Guy Fawkes night 2015, you’ll probably need to wrap up but not so much for the cold but for wet and windy conditions that are likely to affect much of the UK during Thursday. […]
While the first major snows blanket the Sierra Nevada, it’s certainly looking and feeling more like summer from the Rockies on east. Western snow scenes. Kirkwood, CA Bozeman Pass, MT What a difference an overnight snow makes to Cooke City, MT. Winter Wonderland! Yesterday afternoon. Early this morning. Yesterday’s 0.41 inches in San Francisco was […]
Warmest open to a November in Europe weather history? The sea of warm air covering our continent may bring joy to some, especially in the sheltered sunnier spots but misery for others as widespread fog causes headaches for thousands trying to fly in and out of many of the worlds busiest airport hubs. We had an impressive […]
The El Nino casts a shadow over the North American upper air pattern this week as the first major winter storm of the season sweeps into the West and likely to drop 1-2ft over the higher elevations of Montana, Wyoming, Colorado and Utah. Further east, and a monster ridge pumps record warmth north over the Midwest and East through the […]
November looks increasingly likely to be a mild month and it sure did start off that way yesterday. Before yesterday, you had to rewind all the way back to 1946 for when the UK last enjoyed a day in the 20s (C) during November. The warmest temperature ever recorded during November was 21.7C set in mid Wales. Yesterday […]
[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Will the upcoming winter of 2015-16 trend the same as the past two with record cold and snow or take a turn to warmer, perhaps more like 1997-98? Keep in mind that no El Nino nor certain sea surface temperature profile produces the same type of weather pattern. The below 2015-16 winter forecast is based on Current and […]
[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] The below winter 2015-16 forecast for Europe is based on. Global sea surface temperature anomaly Strong El Nino & forecast projection into winter Eurasia snow cover Solar Cycle 24 Trend in NAO/AO during the past year Interesting to note that as of this winter forecast release, today broke a 1946 UK November record with a remarkably mild 22.4C […]
For a second straight year, Halloween is hardly scary with another October 31st dominated by mild air and southerly winds. The majority of the UK will be dry and mild through Halloween afternoon and evening. A front lifting north tonight into Halloween will bring spells of rain along with increased breeze but this very front will introduce the next batch of mild Mediterranean air through the second […]
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