Seasonal Forecasts
Texas and Louisiana have a second weekend in a row where they’ll have to contend with heavy, persistent, even flooding rains. It just so happens to be Halloween this weekend with many setting out trick or treating. One good thing about this situation compared to last weekend is that we won’t see quite the same […]
This morning’s visible satellite image shows a large low encompassing a large area of the North Atlantic and it’s associated cold front draped over the British Isles. The strong high pressure system in the east is very evident with the absence of cloud over the Baltic states, Ukraine, Bulgaria and Romania. Here’s the surface view […]
While this week has it’s share of extremes with flooding rain, gales, snow etc, the pattern goes wild next week as the PNA goes negative and NAO goes Positive with major amplification. We could see record cold in the West and record warmth in the East as November commences. Let’s not forget the first major snowfall for the Rockies and […]
After a reasonably tranquil Sep/Oct, the upper pattern is shifting with more milder influence from west and south as milder, moister air ends the month and looks to stick around through November’s first half looks. The reason for this shift is the AO/NAO which after being predominantly negative through the summer into early autumn, is, as expected turning positive. This will allow the […]
I think it’s safe to say that the trough coming down over the Northeast to end this month is nowhere near as strong or cold as I had it. A lot of the reason is the negative hanging back over the Southwest. The big weather story through the rest of this week will be the heavy rains spreading […]
October is a fickle, transitional and rather moody month which can display tranquillity or energy of destructive force. This time of year, there’s a battle between incoming winter and outgoing summer. There’s no denying that it’s mild by late October standards. Night temps this week are about where they should be by day. 19-21C is more what […]
Former Hurricane Patricia continues to wreck havoc on the Southern US after bringing severe flooding across Texas late week into the weekend. Through Sunday and today the focus is on Louisiana, Mississippi and Alabama where record rains and further major flooding continues while Texas begins to dry out. Impressive wind and rain reports from Louisiana/southern Mississippi. […]
As you know, there’s a very distinct battle between Atlantic low pressure and continental high pressure this week and as is often the case with amplified or meridional patterns, while one area is warm, it’s typically cold elsewhere. So while the West of Europe including the UK and Ireland is in the mild air, it’s […]
The current flood situation across Texas is not too dissimilar to what we saw in the Carolinas just 2 weeks ago. A separate system, this time pushing eastwards from the Four Corners, slows and draws on rich Gulf moisture which dumps 10+ inches of rain causing flash flooding. Then the beast that was Hurricane Patricia slams west coast Mexico and as the structural […]
Well it’s beginning to look like a Scandinavian block will try to rule November across Europe keeping things drier and warmer across the North while cooler and wetter from Russia through the Balkans and down across the Med to Iberia. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Snow forecasts through next 10 days. ECM GFS Snow cover is naturally expanding […]
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