Seasonal Forecasts
Abigail, winter 2015-16’s first named major storm looks set to make it’s closest approach to Scotland overnight tonight with pressure dipping towards 965mb during Friday. Current visible satellite shows the storm gathering strength west of Scotland with cloud hook becoming more distinct. GFS has centre down to 964mb at ooz Friday (overnight tonight) Strongest winds will probably peak between 12-6am […]
The latest Pacific storm has system brought a classic weather flip to Denver. Following a high of 67 sunny degrees Tuesday AHEAD of the low, heavy snow broke out overnight following the passage of the cold front BEHIND. A dramatic turn fairly typical for this time of year. Check out the visible satellite and infrared loop […]
The first ‘strong gale centre’ is set to make it’s closest approach to the UK with the centre passing between Scotland and Iceland later tomorrow into Friday. With wind gusts of up to 80-90 mph over the Western, Northern Isles as well as the NW mainland, this system will be the first of the named of winter […]
This November will be long remembered for it’s incredible warmth. Less than 10 days ago Trawsgoed, Wales recorded the UK’s warmest November day on record with a new benchmark of 22.4C surpassing the old record of 21.6C set back in 1946. Throughout the past 24 hours, our flow has connections extending all the way back to […]
Both West and East coasts are under storm systems this afternoon. While the western system dives into the West and is set to cause problems with snow in the mountains, severe weather on the Plains and potentially very strong wind and high waves on the Great Lakes later in the week, the Southeast system continues to bring […]
This week will be by far the UK’s wettest in many months and most turbulent since possibly all the way back to February. This highly active pattern with moisture plume seen in infrared extending all the way back to the Gulf of Mexico is all thanks to a strengthening +NAO induced trough digging down over the North Atlantic increasing the thermal gradient, jet […]
It’s been a wild past 6 months for the Southern Tier with extreme drought Jan-March then record rains Apr-May which essentially wiped out the TX/OK drought but then came a very dry June-Aug which brought the return to extreme drought. Then it turned around again during the 2nd half of October and following a series of major rain […]
Before you read, I would encourage some caution because this is not me forecasting a late November cold outbreak but more showing you some optimistic model output. More what the atmosphere may be showing and where it may want to head ‘periodically’ through the upcoming winter season. What’s quite interesting is the models didn’t really […]
November sure has opened wild across the Lower 48 with the biggest rains in 6 months for San Francisco, up to 32 inches of snow falls in Colorado while the Eastern Seaboard enjoys day after day of record warmth stretching from South Florida to New England. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Today’s setup. 850mb temp anomalies. Impressive thermal gradient. […]
Back a few days ago the models were suggesting a really poor weekend for bonfires and fireworks displays, however, despite the rapid arrival of these heavy rain and moderate wind baring depressions, there looks to be good timing in the passing of these fronts. Today, it’s wet and breezy but the latest front clears later this […]
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