United Kingdom & Ireland
Over the next 10 days we appear set to see ‘several’ lows of varying intensity cross Ireland and the UK, as well as bringing the usual wet and windy weather, I am expecting pretty sizeable swings in temperature ahead and behind the main cold front. This is the next phase in my November idea. I expected […]
Scotland Following a rather miserable day with a lot of heavy cloud and steady rain across the Central Lowlands extending into the South, this evening should see this rain band associated with a stalled front, finally shift south. Clear skies in the north will produce a frost while extensive mist and fog will form through […]
We loose the warm, damp and dreary regime over the next 24 hours and will return to the much more typical, cooler, crisper weather we expect to see during November. The frontal boundary responsible for the mild flow and wet weather will sink south tomorrow, fragmenting as it does so and this will introduce cooler […]
Scotland Temperatures throughout Scotland are rising to a good 4-8C above seasonal averages and in some Moray coastal locations, an impressive 10C above normal with a high topping 16C this afternoon at Kinloss. It’s all thanks to a long fetched, deep sub-tropical flow which has roots all the way back to the tropics. Unfortunately with this very balmy air flow comes […]
With a large vortex of low pressure dominating the North Atlantic and a huge high over Europe, Ireland and the Northern UK finds itself beneath a long fetched plume of moisture associated with a stalled frontal boundary which extends from the heart of the central Atlantic, all the way to Scotland. Incredibly, according to satellite imagery the cloud band […]
Scotland A VERY WET PERIOD WILL DOMINATE THE NEXT 48 HOURS, PARTICULARLY IN THE WEST, WATCH FOR POOR TRAVEL CONDITIONS AND FLOODING! It’s been a very damp, overcast and dreary day across much of the country, particularly in western areas, always drier in the east but here there is more mist and fog to contend with. A […]
We live in very interesting times. With the NAO/AO now positive, we’re seeing the atmosphere do what I’ve been hoping for and that is the building of cold over the source region during November. Given the negative trend in the NAO ensembles and the forecast of a return to negative later this month, this reload at a time […]
While a sprawling upper ridge builds across Europe this week promoting mild, sunny days but misty, murky, foggy and chilly nights, this extends northwest into the southern half of the UK. While temperatures range 2-4C above normal throughout the UK, it’s Scotland which will unfortunately be positioned beneath a far reaching frontal boundary which separates the large […]
Scotland The damp and blustery theme will continue into this evening and it’s all thanks to a deep Icelandic low positioned to our north. Through tonight, yet more heavy, thundery showers will pile in on the stiff southwest wind which will touch gale-force through the western isles, fresh to strong across the rest of the country for the […]
The latest low to progress west to east between Iceland and Scotland will swing a cold front across Scotland tonight and the rest of the UK tomorrow bringing wind and rain. With the NAO trending firmly into positive territory, the up and down theme with emphasis on an ‘Atlantic driven’ flow looks to continue for the next […]

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