Seasonal Forecasts
Recent winters have been warm to run of the mill cold (similar to my school days of the 90s) but the question some of you may be asking is why did we get the cluster of ‘cold winters’ between 2008 and 2011 and why haven’t we seen anything near as extreme in the past 3 to 4 years? […]
The parade of Pacific systems pushing east over the next 7-10 days with Southwest trough deepening to anomalous levels for May means big contrasts across the country, especially late week as heavy snow breaks out over the Rockies while the East is suddenly thrown into July! [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Check out the ECMWF 500mb height anomalies for early Saturday morning. Check out […]
Today and tomorrow will be heavily influenced by wind and rain as low pressure continues to lift north over the UK. Wind gusts in excess of 50 mph may hamper shipping through the English Channel today while focus turns to Scotland/N England come Wednesday as the low deepens into the 970s (mb). [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] High pressure temporarily builds […]
While the ecmwf is unimpressive with the system, the GFS on the other hand suggests a potential full fledged tropical storm hitting South Carolina by Friday! Apparently NHC have scheduled a recon flight into this system Wed! More detail in tomorrow’s write-up & video! [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] [/s2If][s2If current_user_cannot(access_s2member_level1)][magicactionbox id=”18716″][/s2If]
Following the coldest Northeast January through March period since 1895, air conditioners will be buzzing throughout the region this week as the first surge of true summer heat pushes in. Be sure to check out today’s video which takes a quick look back at why the past 2 winters have been so cold and just […]
Heavy Rain Spreads North Over UK Tonight Setting Tone For Next 7 Days, Potentially Stormy Wednesday!
After what will be a decent bank holiday Monday, a system gathering over western France will spread heavy and persistent rain into the South of England and Wales tonight. This could lead to some local flooding. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] During Tuesday this rain and wind lifts north over the UK but as shown in this morning’s […]
We now have the first legitimate US tropical or sub-tropical storm threat for May since 2012 along the Carolina coast this week as well as the first true surge of summer heat. It’s also going to be an active week out in the Plains with severe weather including tornado threats combined with flooding rains. There is a system developing east of Florida […]
We currently have a trough and multi-low pressure complex circling the NE Atlantic/North Sea. With 3 lows attached and circling the UK and Ireland, it’s safe to say that the upcoming 7 days will be predominantly unsettled with wind and rain a common factor through this short working week. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] After a dry Feb-Apr and really Jan-Apr […]
This pattern is an interesting one worth watching as severe weather season ramps up in the Plains, a surge of summer progresses into the East while potential tropical trouble lurks off the Carolinas next week. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Firstly, here’s the latest ECMWF 5-day mean 500mb height anomalies. Day 0-5 Here comes that ridge into the Northeast day […]
The models are now drawing a much more refined solution to next week with a much more ‘unsettled’ look. Before we go into the details for next week as well as analysing the bigger picture and what that may mean for later, April, as expected was a warmer, drier and sunnier month for the UK […]
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