Seasonal Forecasts
Here’s a different take on the upcoming European winter compared to AccuWeather and myself. Always good to show other ideas. From WSI Europe Another “4-W Winter” Appears More Likely Than Not October 19, 2015 Andover, MA This winter (November – January period), WSI (Weather Services International) expects another “4-W Winter” with lack of North Atlantic […]
After two straight +NAO winters, this year looks different as our prevailing flow continues to blow in from the EAST. The past two Octobers and following winters have been firm westerly. Despite a return to more Atlantic weather this week, confidence lessons beyond 7 days with some models showing the return of northern blocking and others showing a more active […]
With the strongest, coldest trough drilling into the Eastern United States, we have a ‘ripple effect’ change in the trans-atlantic pattern this week. That US trough will have a ripple effect that will break through the protective wall of high pressure that’s be anchored over Western Europe for the best part of two weeks. Up […]
.jpg "ACCUWEATHER: Europe Winter Forecast: Harsh Cold to Bypass London and Paris; Storms to Frequent Southern France to Italy and Alps")
From AccuWeather By Eric Leister, Meteorologist October 17, 2015; 1:38 AM ET A dominant storm track featuring storms moving west to east across Europe will result in a stark contrast between cold air building across Scandinavia and milder air masses entrenched near the Mediterranean. While areas from central France and northern Spain through the Alps […]
The low which is pushing into California for a second time is indeed making it’s presence felt. Major flooding and mudslides have forced the closure of major SoCal roadways including the Grapevine. It’s all thanks to a highly unstable air mass, sparking severe and soaking thunderstorms with incredible and unusual rainfall rates for this region. […]
In my monthly outlook, October was always thought to be good and settled through the first half, turning more unsettled through the second and after a prolonged spell of settled weather thanks to a dominant upper ridge sitting over the UK redirecting typical ‘bad weather’ north into Norway and south into Iberia, it looks like we return to normal next week. HOWEVER, […]
A potent cut off low which produced heavy rain for California last week is set to slide back onshore in the next 48-72 hours bringing more heavy rain and storms. How can this be? The system has ultimately done a loop the loop sliding initially into California then Arizona before turning south into Mexico and then back out […]
There’s strong similarity now showing between October of this year and October 2009 with strong blocking shielding the UK and Northwest from the typical stormy Atlantic. The the storm traffic the Atlantic typically throws our way at this time of year is being redirected north and south. The tranquil October this year and in 2009 followed an uncanny similar […]
Following a major surge of heat with October records crumbling over the central and northern Plains, here comes the first major cold shot of the season from N Plains to Mid-Atlantic. Month to date. While the East prepares for the first cold of the season, it remains record hot in the Southwest. Death Valley received […]
The persistency of the northern (Scandinavia) blocking in recent WEEKS has been impressive. Though it came and went late September, it soon returned and as a result, rainfall has become sparse in areas which where wettest back in summer over southern Europe. We’ve pretty much reached the mid way point of October and it looks to me as though […]
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