Seasonal Forecasts
Unfortunately today’s video won’t be up until tonight as I cut it at 2.15 this morning before heading to Aberdeen where I am currently. The video failed to upload but will have it up tonight once home. The pattern remains much the same. A large banana shaped high pressure zone remains strong, extending from Atlantic to Russia while a […]
A wild, dynamic and highly amplified pattern has led to wild and extreme weather across the US. The wind was one thing but the heat? Well it was incredible by October standards. Highs soared to 99 degrees at Mooreton, North Dakota yesterday as a trough pushing onto the West Coast, has expanded north and east, an unusually hot […]
From summer heat less than 10 days ago to snow and cold now over eastern Europe! What a flip from September’s warmth to October’s cold so far. Where it’s been warmest in Sept, it’s coolest so far in Oct. That’s the way it goes! September anomaly October so far The same drivers which do one thing at one time of […]
We have a very interesting pattern across the US these days with an unusual and erratic upper cut low which crossed California into the Four Corners then backed west back out over the Pacific and is now set to return onshore. The heat is on across the West and Plains as that upper low swings back out […]
Warm Polar Stratosphere Already Supporting High Latitude Blocking & Early Taste Of Winter For Europe
For the first time in probably 3 years, we’re now into October and the mid to low latitudes are colder at 50hpa than within the arctic. What does this mean? It means the stratosphere is warm in the arctic, hence the positive 500mb height field across the northern latitudes and negative in the mid latitudes. […]
Following a wet past few days with upper low crossing Sothern California into Four Corners then back SW into the Pacific, a major ridge has build over top bringing widespread 90s and 100s. 90s are reaching Montana, 70s, possibly 80s into Sask. Camarillo Airport, Calif has witnessed an all-time high in the last hour of […]
For many or most, particularly from a media point of view, Ex-Hurricane Joaquin remains the focus and will continue to fall apart as it limps into northwest Spain. Strong winds are sure to drive battering waves against the coast while heavy rain may bring localised flooding inland but the true weather story this weekend is the energy and disturbance lifting out […]
Along with the first push of Arctic/Siberian air into northeast Europe came the first snows of the season to cities such as Moscow and surrounding region. This snow coverage expands westward into the weekend. All thanks to this air mass… That’s a chilly 5 day mean temp anomaly. Following 5 days sees it reach the UK […]
The Pacific tropical season has been a highly active one, largely thanks to the on going strong El Nino. Between Thursday and Saturday, former hurricane Oho is tracking NE over the east Pacific and looks set to slam into the British Columbia/Alaska coast bringing potentially damaging winds and heavy rainfall. Meanwhile further south, heat resurges from Southern California […]
We’re closely monitoring the progress of Joaquin which remains a hurricane as of now but transition is soon to come as it leaves the warm water. This evening visible satellite loop looks to show a transitioning Joaquin. Latest information. Hurricane JOAQUIN As of 00:00 UTC Oct 07, 2015: Location: 39.6°N 54.9°W Maximum Winds: 70 kt Gusts: 85 […]
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