Seasonal Forecasts
Quite the contrast between Southwest and Northeast Europe yesterday and today. While it’s beginning to look and feel a whole lot like winter up into Finland and northwest Russia, it’s anything but over parts of Spain and particularly the Canaries where all-time October heat records were established. Check out the temperature anomaly map for Europe […]
Rains are easing but incredibly still falling over parts of the Carolinas. Incredibly, close to 30 inches of rain has fallen between Friday and Monday. It was the ‘perfect storm’ scenario with no single player to blame but 3 to 4, even 5 components all coming together perfectly. Conway High School, SC Joaquin in my opinion […]
Well I hope you enjoyed that lovely settled spell because we’re back to a more typical wet and windy regime starting today. Rain spreads northwards in two bands today and accompanying this will be strong winds. This system clears and it’s followed by another Tuesday-Wednesday but there is signs this is a short-lived change. High […]
Potentially the greatest flood event in South Carolina history continues. It all started off when a frontal zone stalled just off the East Coast in which a system formed coast bringing an initial drenching to the Carolinas up into the Mid-Atlantic but as Hurricane Joaquin intensified and drifted SW over the Bahamas, the interaction between an unusually strong upper low spinning […]
With high pressure weakening across Northern Europe, a Med low began to turn northward into Italy and France and as it did, it unleased astonishing rains along the French Riviera causing devastating flash floods which killed up to 12 people. https://youtu.be/_c-bycWvBwQ Up to 150mm or 6 inches of rain fell within just 2 hours in […]
The turn has begun after parts of the central Bahamas was ravaged by nearly 2ft of rain and pounded by tropical storm force winds for 3 straight days and hurricane-force winds for 1.5 days. At it’s peak, Joaquin’s wind gusts roared at between 125-130 mph winds over the parts of the multi-island paradise. Areas are inevitably devastated though pictures are slow to come […]
Here’s a quick glance at the 500mb height and surface temperature anomalies for September 2015 across Europe. Is this a setup which will be mirrored this winter? Note the difference in upper heights and temps from the June-August period with strongest heights/warmest temps across the South. Warming SST’s north of the UK is taking the mean ridge […]
Within 150-200 miles of the Bahamas, Joaquin went from a strong 70 mph Tropical Storm to a Category 4 monster generating sustained winds of up to 130 mph as it spins directly over this beautiful island chain. The devastating aspect is twofold, 1) it’s a large and extremely powerful system but 2) the slow movement means that the Bahamas […]
It was another stunning day of cloud free skies. This powerful under ridge with surface pressure near 1040mb is completely supressing the atmosphere’s ability to produce clouds. This was the view from space and notice cloud and sea fog is restricted to the West Coast. UK view. This was my view along the shores of […]
In my previous post less than 24 hours ago, Joaquin wasn’t yet declared a hurricane but as of this writing it’s become a major, Category 3 storm with winds of 120 mph and pressure now said to be below 940mb. The latest recon flight this morning measured pressure at 938mb. The hurricane is currently lashing the […]
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