Seasonal Forecasts
It’s a tail of two halves for Western Europe these days, all thanks to the positioning of high pressure. As stated previous, when you’ve a northerly positioned high, it’s often unsettled underneath and when it’s unsettled across the north like it will be next week, it’s typically more settled underneath. Yesterday infrared satellite view shows […]
Not one, not two but THREE systems are setting the stage for a potentially devastating flood situation over the Eastern Seaboard through the next 5-7 days. We had the initial system which came out of the Gulf and is now pouring rain over the Northeast, then secondly we’ve got a frontal system pushing down from the Great […]
UPDATED: Temperatures reached 23.3C today at Braemar. The UK’s highest reading. Also, it was a well below normal September for rainfall across the UK with just 55% of normal. A good forecast for the month put out on Aug 24! We remain beneath the powerful influence of high pressure spanning some 1500-2000 miles and providing near cloudless […]
Since the last US post yesterday, we now have Tropical Storm Joaquin spinning east of the Bahamas. This looks to support a secondary tropical invasion into the East Coast following the first soaking through the next 24-36 hrs. The first system lifts up through the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast but another southeastbound cold front looks set to lift out over the […]
I would be lying if I said there was no similarity between this year’s pattern and SSTA (sea surface temperature anomaly) to 2009. Like summer 2009, we have endured a cool, wet, -NAO/AO warm season and even the Sep/projected Oct pattern looks similar. An incredible similarity in the 500mb geopotential height field between summer 2009 and 2015. Summer 2009 […]
As forecast back on August 24th, this September has been a May repeat for the Upper Midwest and Northeast and not just here but all the way back into the Desert Southwest. September 2015 will be long remembered as a warm month. In fact cities stretching from Las Vegas in the Southeast to New York in the […]
Well did you manage to see the supermoon eclipse last night? Though not the best of quality, these were the images I managed to capture. As for the weather, well we’re firmly under the influence of a strong upper ridge, shielding us from any disturbed weather through the rest of this week. A perfect ending […]
Be sure to set your alarms for the rare supermoon lunar eclipse tonight. Said to peak around 3.11am, I’ll be setting my alarm probably around 2.15/2.30am to view this. Why? because the last time this occurred was the year before I was born and the next time, well it’ll be 2033. During the peak, the […]
We’ve two areas of concern through the next 5+ days, the first is the system gathering force off the Carolinas bringing flooding rain, gusty winds and beach erosion to the Mid-Atlantic. This will move into the Northeast through the weekend on into early next week. Big rains yesterday for the Carolinas. The other area of […]

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