Seasonal Forecasts

Multi-Day Wind & Rain Event For Mid-Atlantic, Gulf Development Likely Next Week

Written by on September 24, 2015 in Autumn 2015, Summer 2015, Tropical, United States of America with 0 Comments
Multi-Day Wind & Rain Event For Mid-Atlantic, Gulf Development Likely Next Week

With low pressure continuing to organise east of the Carolinas beneath a building New England high, it looks like the Mid-Atlantic is set for several days of poor weather, a multiday wind and rain event. It’s going to be a downright miserable next several days as easterly gales persist, causing coastal flooding both by wave, wind and heavy […]

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Storms Bring Flash Floods To Turkey, Snow To Alps, Sept Weekend Looking Great!

Storms Bring Flash Floods To Turkey, Snow To Alps, Sept Weekend Looking Great!

We’re stuck in a chilly, showery NW flow here across the UK but this setup is soon to change come the weekend as heights builds in from the Atlantic. As for mainland Europe, it’s been anything but benign, while the Spanish Costas continue to sweat in mid-summer heat (37C in Malaga), flooding rains too cause issues around around Alicante […]

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United States October Outlook (Includes Video)

Written by on September 24, 2015 in Autumn 2015, Tropical, United States of America with 0 Comments
United States October Outlook (Includes Video)

As forecast here back on August 24th, September was looking to be a warmer and better month for the very areas which suffered a cool and wet summer. For particularly the Central and Northern Plains, Great Lakes and Ontario, it’s been a downright hot and pretty dry September. The areas which saw more warmth and dryness June-August saw opposite […]

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Europe October Outlook (Includes Video)

Written by on September 23, 2015 in Autumn 2015, Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
Europe October Outlook (Includes Video)

Overall, September has proven pretty successful in terms of drier and more settled across much of the UK and as pointed out back in late August, there will be spells of unsettled but the emphasis should be largely on higher heights than that of the June-August period. Brief Ocean-Atmosphere Overview Interestingly the cool theme continues from […]

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US Pattern Opens Door To Tropical Threat, Tranquility Elsewhere

Written by on September 22, 2015 in Autumn 2015, Summer 2015, Tropical, United States of America with 0 Comments
US Pattern Opens Door To Tropical Threat, Tranquility Elsewhere

The US Gulf and Atlantic coast will have an open door policy next 15 days to tropical threats. While the tropics are already stirring with Ida spinning well out to sea and mischief just off the East Coast, the northward building of a very strong and sprawling high pressure into Canada forces heights to lower underneath and out over 85-90 degree […]

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Western Europe Contrasts, Indian Summer Likely On Way

Western Europe Contrasts, Indian Summer Likely On Way

An autumnal trough currently over Northwest Europe brought an interesting contrast this morning across Spain in particular with cooler than normal extending from Scotland down through France into northern/central Spain. Clear sky and light winds meant a chilly night with mist, fog and patchy frost but Spain is separated by two very different air masses. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] This morning’s […]

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16E Poses Significant Flood Risk For Desert Southwest, Mid-Atlantic Mess This Week

Written by on September 21, 2015 in Autumn 2015, Summer 2015, Tropical, United States of America with 0 Comments
16E Poses Significant Flood Risk For Desert Southwest, Mid-Atlantic Mess This Week

Record heat has been the focus across Southern California in recent days with highs of 98 in Downtown Los Angeles yesterday. It got to a record 105 in Paso Robles, 104 in Woodland Hillsm and Burbank while Long Beach topped 100. …HIGH TEMPERATURE REPORTS FOR TODAY… LOCATION                     TEMP      TIME/DATE       ELEVATION …LOS ANGELES COUNTY… SANTA FE DAM                 109 F     0257 […]

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WEST EUROPE: Unsettled & Autumnal This Week But Next Week Sees Return Of High Pressure

WEST EUROPE: Unsettled & Autumnal This Week But Next Week Sees Return Of High Pressure

After a lengthy spell of fine, dry and settled weather across Northern Ireland and Scotland, this week will be quite different thanks to a reversal in upper pattern with low over high. That means Atlantic fronts will frequently drop into Scotland from the northwest bringing cool, wet and at times quite windy conditions. However, give it […]

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El Nino’s Westward Shift May Present 3rd Bad Winter For Midwest, East

Written by on September 20, 2015 in Autumn 2015, Summer 2015, United States of America with 0 Comments
El Nino’s Westward Shift May Present 3rd Bad Winter For Midwest, East

Still a lot of if’s and buts but for Midwesterners, Easterners seeking another winter worth talking about in 2015-16, you may have your wish as current modelling is swaying more towards another colder but stormy outlook the further south and east you go across the Lower 48 while it’s looking disastrous for the winter sports industry of the Pacific Northwest. [s2If […]

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EUROPE 2015-16 WINTER: Met Office & Jamstec Goes For 09-10, CFSv2 06-07 or 97-98

EUROPE 2015-16 WINTER: Met Office & Jamstec Goes For 09-10, CFSv2 06-07 or 97-98

Thought I would show you the September version of the December-February period off both the Met Office and Jamstec models. Rather interesting to say the least. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] 500mb heights Mean sea level pressure 2m temperature Precipitation Jamstec While at this time I don’t believe another 09-10 style winter is ahead and by that I mean LONGEVITY combined with intensity of snow and […]

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