Seasonal Forecasts
With the resurge in Asia to N America strat warming and MJO entering phase 8, there is strong reason to believe that another major snow and arctic blast looms in the late next week. The models are once again printing out our dream setup with cross polar flow and Siberian seeded Canadian cold diving south […]
Significant 500mb Wave Breaking Next 10 Days Will Deliver Series Of ‘Cold Shots’ Into Western Europe
Well the overnight snowfall did catch me off guard as I had this possibility back last weekend but then backed off. We have quite an interesting, highly amplified and progressive pattern but with plenty of cold air to work with. Significant wave breaking at the 500mb level will send a series of cold shots into […]
After a warm opening 12 days to February in the Northeast, the arctic blast from the past weekend has actually flipped the anomaly below normal and given what’s ahead with further snow systems and cold, this month is likely to go down as below normal. Opening 12 days. February to date. This month sure is […]
For a 3rd straight winter, cold has been focused away from Europe with storms fast, frequent and at time furious. This spell of ‘less cold, more wet & windy’ winters is common and the UK can go several winters without any harsh snow and cold. There was plenty of mild, wet and windy back in […]
Tonight is likely to be the coldest yet for England, Wales and next 2 nights from the Netherlands down through parts of France and Spain thanks to a chilly high between fronts. Cold hollows over Spain’s central plateau and mountains could see -15C or lower, especially Wednesday morning. Cold hollows within the Alps could approach -30C. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] The […]
In a month (till now) and winter that’s been mild or even warm, this past two morning’s are made all the more remarkable. Less than 10 days ago the very places which have seen it coldest, experienced their warmest February days on record. The last two winters have seen the rise and hype of the ‘polar vortex’, this morning […]
I know I said in this morning’s video that I wasn’t going to post today but there are a couple of quick points I wanted to cover. Firstly, following yesterday’s pretty persistent sleet and snow (rain for some) streaming in on a stiff, cold east wind, we saw Braemar sink to -14.1C. Coldest in the UK so […]
The core of cold shivered eastern Canada this morning with the coldest temperatures in Toronto in 22 years. Projected 2m temps this morning were still frigid but not quite frigid enough according to the models. Note the ECMWF had Toronto at -20C or milder but as a matter of fact it dipped to -26C, coldest since January […]
Now that is a cold wind out there this morning. The easterly blowing off Denmark will contain a mix of rain, sleet and snow with an increasingly turn over to snow as Saturday progresses. Visible satellite this morning shows the first of several lows pushing through the English Channel. Winds blow in off the Atlantic […]
We have a bitterly cold weekend coming up from DC to Bangor but does this arctic blast last? We have an interesting and potentially record breaking temperature rollercoaster coming up between Sunday and Tuesday evening. Firstly it’s all about the cold and when it’s arctic air involved, don’t you just love the clear blue skies […]
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