Autumn 2016
[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] An anomalous negative AO pattern by early October standards is helping bring a fast start to winter across Siberia. Yes winter starts late September/early October in Arctic Russia but the current -AO is helping get the winter wheels in motion faster, stronger and ahead of this time last year. First snow of the season for Omsk, Russia. Parts of Poland woke […]
Here’s a positive indicator. Siberian snowpack is growing faster as of October 1 this year compared to last. Thank a strongly negative Arctic Oscillation. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Expect snow cover throughout Eurasia to continue expanding westward. That negative Arctic Oscillation is helping feed some pretty chilly early season Arctic Russian air across Europe beneath a sprawling Scandinavia blocking high. […]
After slamming Haiti then Cuba as a Category 4, Hurricane Matthew is back over very warm open water and after weakening slightly due to land interaction, has re-intensified this morning and is expected to further intensify as it pushes through the Bahamas. Scenes from a storm devastated Haiti. Cuba is no better! This is Baracoa. Matthew Expected To […]
We are firmly under the influence of a monster Scandinavia ridge and will continue to be through the upcoming weekend. A low running the SE flank and drifting into Poland will enhance the ENE flow and while likely bringing snowfall to some, I expect chillier air to reach the UK late week as the nagging […]
After what was a very warm September, the current Scandinavian blocking high is favouring a cold October for much of Europe. The core of the high reached 1050mb at the surface over Sweden this morning. A low drifting WSW on the underside of the high is pulling Arctic Russia sourced air into the heat of Europe. […]
Matthew has made landfall on Haiti’s Tiburon peninsula, 20 miles west of Les Cayes as a Category 4, 145 mph Hurricane. Wind gusts likely exceeding 160 mph… Sadly this is an unfolding disaster! First images coming out of Haiti. This area outlined by Jim Cantore is likely to get wiped out! Steep, deforested terrain highly susceptible to mudslides, enhanced rainfall through […]
Well Matthew continues to approach Jamaica and Hispaniola with fluctuating intensity with wobbling. This is what you would expect with such a large, powerful hurricane. Here’s the latest stats. Latest visible satellite loop. We could well see this re-strengthen a little prior to some weakening due to land interaction but I’m afraid no matter what, this has […]
The upper air pattern turns much more meridional or amplified this week as a Scandinavian blocking high builds and expands. The core of this huge high nears 1050mb this week. It’s affects are being felt throughout the UK and Ireland and as far east of Russia and Kazakhstan. This large boulder in the upper air stream reroutes […]
Published: Sep 29 2016 10:00 PM EDT By Jonathan Belles weather.com When spoken in the same sentence, the words ‘hurricane’ and ‘Haiti’ often create cold sweats and an abundance of worry in the minds of the nation’s residents, meteorologists and weather observers alike. Haiti is one of the most fragile hurricane-prone countries on the planet. […]
[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] There’s a lot of question marks and complexity surrounding the upcoming winter of 2016-17 for Europe. There’s nothing clear cut when forecasting winters here but this year is particularly challenging. Sure, the El Nino ruled last year but post El Nino winters have been known to have quite the sting but the ENSO […]
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