United States of America
We have one of the biggest cold outbreaks in history now diving into the Lower 48. This pattern appears to deliver TWO waves of cold of which the second is likely to be stronger since snow cover will be extensive with wave 2. Wave one lays the ground work for wave 2. This is an unbelievable […]
After talking about it for days, former Typhoon Nuri is ‘bombing out’ over the Bering Sea this morning, said to have a CP of 924mb which breaks the old record of 925mb set in Dutch Harbour back in Oct ’77. This is forcing a staggering height rise over the arctic, splitting the polar vortex and by doing so, a […]
I’ve focused on the details of the coming cold waves as they dive out of the arctic but I want to look briefly at what follows this outbreak through next week. Does it hit and hold or does it kick out only to be replaced by mild. ALL indexes look perfect for this cold that’s […]
As shown in yesterday’s post, once Super Typhoon Nuri is bombing out over the North Pacific, challenging record low pressure near 920mb within the next 48 hours. It’s this low which will explode heights over Alaska and the arctic, dislodging a piece of the polar vortex and forcing it south. Models have a mid-winter level 1044mb high […]
We have the second, potentially stronger arctic blast of November heading for the central and eastern US and when joining up all the variables, this winter looks increasingly wild with comparisons to the late 70s showing up. With all the years joined together with all the same variables to this year. Dec looks like this (above chart!)! The coming cold […]
With Super Typhoon Nuri poised for a west Pacific recurve combined with a +PNA, Siberian strat warming and big increase in Canadian snow cover should lead to another major Nov cold blast for the Midwest and East US. This is very like last winter with the Siberian strat warming which lead to a direct discharge […]
This seasonal forecast for the US is based on the signals nature has already presented to us and data available as well as past analog years. With the still warmer than normal northeast Pacific, the development of a weak, possibly moderate El Nino into winter (central Pacific positioned), an easterly QBO and significant Siberian snow cover… The Central and Eastern US looks poised for […]
As previously posted, we’ve got a decent blast of arctic air now driving into the Lower 48. Expect widespread snow flakes with some accumulation over parts of the Ohio Valley and particularly over the mountains of the Carolinas, Virginias up into PA and eventually New England. As well as the snow, it sure is cold for […]
I’m on the road but managing to get wifi signal here in Perth. WILD WEEKEND COMING UP FOR EARLY SEASON COLD & SNOW… It sure was a cold start over the N Plains into the Midwest this am. Struggling to warm this afternoon. Latest ecmwf snow forecast through 48h gfs Shall have a more thorough update later […]
Following the record heat of recent days with the 80-degree mark being reached at Baltimore and Washington DC (15 above norm), we will see highs stuck in the 40s with a threat of the first flakes flying this weekend. Shock to the system this weekend and not just in the East… We could go from […]
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