United Kingdom & Ireland
I must say, I was impressed when seeing 3pm reports of air temps stuck at 3C in Glasgow with snow falling in places. This followed a morning low of -2. This air mass is comparable to early February rather than late April and of course just days ago we were basking in sunshine and 18-20C. This was the scene […]
Through the weekend, cold, dry arctic air has been filtering south over the UK and Ireland. Thanks to clear skies and light winds, temps dropped to surprisingly low values early Monday morning. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] The mid-winter -8.0C at Katesbridge, Co Down was the coldest April night on record for the site and came close to Northern Ireland’s April record of -8.5C […]
It’s was a clear, cold start to Sunday with rural frost around. I was out early and had to scrape the wind screen. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Once the sun begins to warm the lower levels, we raise the lapse rate or temperature difference with height as colder air is back. Since yesterday’s post, a frontal zone […]
Gone is our beloved high pressure pattern and back is the cool, unsettled trough. Going by multi runs of the GFS operational, ensemble, ECMWF and CFSv2, it appears this pattern is a true flip that’s here to stay. Certainly through the first half of May. Be sure to watch today’s video for the discussion. [s2If […]
You’ll notice the difference out there today as patiently waiting weather systems begin to move in. Why such a change? We’ve lost over 24mb in pressure and so there’s no resistance in holding back surrounding weather. Today marks the change with cloudier skies and some shower activity but it’s not till Saturday that the atmosphere […]
The first run of the Jamstec for winter 2015-16 is out. SST Precipitation Air temp See this morning’s Europe & United States videos for the discussion on the above! Will have a break down on the weekend and next week’s weather shortly. Stay tuned!
Well April turned out drier and warmer than I had expected. However, I did believe we would see our first true warm spell of 2015, that turned out to be nearly the entire month. Check out how clear the skies over the UK were yesterday. Views like this have become common this month as high […]
[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Now this would be the kiss of death to winter 2015-16 if true for both sides of the Atlantic! Several factors would go against a cold winter. That warm NE Pacific and cold North Atlantic would once again support N Pacific blocking/North Atlantic trough wouldn’t teleconnect to a Western Europe trough. Because of […]
Well I’ve addressed the big pattern flip that’s coming but today I want to look at just how chilly it could get with this setup. First of all, check this out…. This often happens in solar downturn years not in winter but spring and often marks the big shift to a longer term cooler and wetter pattern. […]
Check this out… big flip with the newer run of the Jamstec for the June-August period. It’s now hinting at wetter than normal and solidly cooler than normal for the UK, Ireland and Western Europe but warmer than normal down over much of Iberia. It had the opposite back on April 1st. This now falls in line with […]
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