United Kingdom & Ireland

Here’s a different take on the upcoming European winter compared to AccuWeather and myself. Always good to show other ideas. From WSI Europe Another “4-W Winter” Appears More Likely Than Not October 19, 2015 Andover, MA This winter (November – January period), WSI (Weather Services International) expects another “4-W Winter” with lack of North Atlantic […]

After two straight +NAO winters, this year looks different as our prevailing flow continues to blow in from the EAST. The past two Octobers and following winters have been firm westerly. Despite a return to more Atlantic weather this week, confidence lessons beyond 7 days with some models showing the return of northern blocking and others showing a more active […]

With the strongest, coldest trough drilling into the Eastern United States, we have a ‘ripple effect’ change in the trans-atlantic pattern this week. That US trough will have a ripple effect that will break through the protective wall of high pressure that’s be anchored over Western Europe for the best part of two weeks. Up […]

From AccuWeather By Eric Leister, Meteorologist October 17, 2015; 1:38 AM ET A dominant storm track featuring storms moving west to east across Europe will result in a stark contrast between cold air building across Scandinavia and milder air masses entrenched near the Mediterranean. While areas from central France and northern Spain through the Alps […]

There’s strong similarity now showing between October of this year and October 2009 with strong blocking shielding the UK and Northwest from the typical stormy Atlantic. The the storm traffic the Atlantic typically throws our way at this time of year is being redirected north and south. The tranquil October this year and in 2009 followed an uncanny similar […]

The persistency of the northern (Scandinavia) blocking in recent WEEKS has been impressive. Though it came and went late September, it soon returned and as a result, rainfall has become sparse in areas which where wettest back in summer over southern Europe. We’ve pretty much reached the mid way point of October and it looks to me as though […]

Unfortunately today’s video won’t be up until tonight as I cut it at 2.15 this morning before heading to Aberdeen where I am currently. The video failed to upload but will have it up tonight once home. The pattern remains much the same. A large banana shaped high pressure zone remains strong, extending from Atlantic to Russia while a […]

From summer heat less than 10 days ago to snow and cold now over eastern Europe! What a flip from September’s warmth to October’s cold so far. Where it’s been warmest in Sept, it’s coolest so far in Oct. That’s the way it goes! September anomaly October so far The same drivers which do one thing at one time of […]

For the first time in probably 3 years, we’re now into October and the mid to low latitudes are colder at 50hpa than within the arctic. What does this mean? It means the stratosphere is warm in the arctic, hence the positive 500mb height field across the northern latitudes and negative in the mid latitudes. […]