United Kingdom & Ireland
This morning’s visible satellite image shows a large low encompassing a large area of the North Atlantic and it’s associated cold front draped over the British Isles. The strong high pressure system in the east is very evident with the absence of cloud over the Baltic states, Ukraine, Bulgaria and Romania. Here’s the surface view […]
After a reasonably tranquil Sep/Oct, the upper pattern is shifting with more milder influence from west and south as milder, moister air ends the month and looks to stick around through November’s first half looks. The reason for this shift is the AO/NAO which after being predominantly negative through the summer into early autumn, is, as expected turning positive. This will allow the […]
October is a fickle, transitional and rather moody month which can display tranquillity or energy of destructive force. This time of year, there’s a battle between incoming winter and outgoing summer. There’s no denying that it’s mild by late October standards. Night temps this week are about where they should be by day. 19-21C is more what […]
As you know, there’s a very distinct battle between Atlantic low pressure and continental high pressure this week and as is often the case with amplified or meridional patterns, while one area is warm, it’s typically cold elsewhere. So while the West of Europe including the UK and Ireland is in the mild air, it’s […]
Well it’s beginning to look like a Scandinavian block will try to rule November across Europe keeping things drier and warmer across the North while cooler and wetter from Russia through the Balkans and down across the Med to Iberia. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Snow forecasts through next 10 days. ECM GFS Snow cover is naturally expanding […]
The first of many noticeable cold fronts is currently pushing SE over the UK leading to a noteworthy dip in temperature. This active frontal boundary brought a fair amount of wind and rain overnight, fuelled by a decent air mass contrast. Ahead of it, mild, Mediterranean source air, behind it was ocean-modified Greenland air. Nothing unusual for the time […]
We have a much more active westerly air flow now influencing NW Europe but the worst of the weather through the next week or so appears to hold over far western areas which includes Ireland and west or southwest parts of the British Isles, largely down to the fact that we’ve a strong high pressure system […]
Up until the 20th of the month, October has been dry across the UK and Ireland with many places receiving barely 20% of normal rainfall. As for temperatures, well after a warm start, the average is now back below normal thanks to a persistent northerly high pulling air in from Russia. Change has indeed arrived with a more typical, […]
There’s an interesting divide in long range model solution for the upcoming winter. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] I strongly believe individual forecasters lean towards their favoured model where it’s warm or cold and it’s interesting to see the growing contrast in forecasts coming out. WSI shows a warm Europe winter with little to no blocking. AccuWeather is quite different. To […]
Now that the large stone has been rolled away (blocking high) a more classic autumn pattern resumes for Northwest Europe with a series of systems set to bring wind and rain across Ireland and the UK this week into next along with the return of the autumn temperature rollercoaster. The first of two systems this […]
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