Winter 2015/16
As of 11.30am the rain has become steady here in Cumbernauld as the first of many fronts push west to east across the UK. It’s a cold rain today following a frosty start but it’s on the backside of the front where southerly winds increase and therefore warmer air takes over once again. We’re back in the […]
There is little change in overall thinking with regards to the late week/weekend snowstorm. This is a textbook case of all the ingredients coming together and southern and northern branch energy converging and intensification of an intense, closed upper low right over or just south of Washington DC. Just look at the latest GFS 500mb chart and see how this […]
It was another cold start to the day on both ends of the British Isles but Atlantic low pressure is closing in and will bring modifying southerly winds as we draw this week to a close. By Sunday, most of the UK should enjoy double digits and that’s above freezing of course! This pull back […]
The major winter storm looks to be a precursor to what could be a wild and loaded winter pattern through February. No question, the system now spreading rain and snow across California, will push out into the Atlantic somewhere between Charleston, SC and NYC, most likely over the southern Delmarva. Once the system crosses the […]
The cold Europe pattern with Arctic/Greenland/North Atlantic blocking is well into a weakening phase as heights lower to the west of the UK and low pressure gains ground pushing the cold surface high east into continental Europe. Despite the gradual breakdown in this pattern, last night marked the coldest of winter for both the southern and northern UK. For the north, surface […]
In last night’s write up I briefly showed you the wild scenario the GFS had for the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast late this week into the weekend and it’s pretty amazing at how both GFS and ECMWF are going to the extreme with a real blockbuster snowstorm, perhaps blizzard. Both models show much the same scenario […]
Following the extreme mild of November/December, old man winter sure is catching up and gripping Europe in a big way. About as big of a turnaround as you’ll ever see! December anomaly January so far [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Cold and snow is the big talking point this month from the Black Sea to Highlands of Scotland. While the […]
The storm which brought rough weather and destructive and even deadly tornadoes to Florida yesterday is bringing snow up the East Coast and for me anyway, a surprise patchy light covering for DC up into Philly. Both BWI and DCA airports in Washington recorded their first measurable snow of the season. Modelling picked up on these […]
As forecasted back at the beginning of last week, snow has indeed reached Greater London with a large swathe of the UK, especially central and northern areas under snow cover now. With cloud cover, snow cover isn’t as affective at driving down the temperature by night and without snow on the ground arctic air is wasted. However it looks […]
I must start today’s write-up with a glance at the formation of the very rare Hurricane Alex, the first January Atlantic Hurricane to form in 78 years. The system is now post tropical and heading towards Greenland so no impact to US but a meteorological rarity which needed to be shown. It had wind and rain […]
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