EUROPE: Neutral AO/NAO Returns But Briefly As Pattern Reloads And Arctic Rewarms

It was another cold start to the day on both ends of the British Isles but Atlantic low pressure is closing in and will bring modifying southerly winds as we draw this week to a close. By Sunday, most of the UK should enjoy double digits and that’s above freezing of course!

This pull back is in response to both the AO/NAO neutralising but for how long?

ao_fcst

nao_fcst

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Just look at the rather exceptional height rises throughout the arctic day 5 through 15 off the EPS Control. Now that looks like a full scale SSWE reaction to me.

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Credit: AccuWeather Pro

Check out the difference in temperature between the initial and day 10 at 50mb.

gfs_t50_nh_f00

gfs_t50_nh_f240

One model, one run and a long way to go but interesting nonetheless.

This is rather short today I know but will have more detail on the short as well as long term tomorrow. Exciting times ahead…

See video for today’s discussion.

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